Football · Portugal Primeira Liga · 22/08, 13:00
Prediction: Moreirense vs Benfica
Team pages: Moreirense · Benfica
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.6Total
Moreirense1.56
Benfica2.04
1X2
Moreirense
Draw
Benfica
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Moreirense
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Benfica
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Moreirense
0–2–4
Benfica
(6 last)
- Benfica4-1Moreirense
- Moreirense0-4Benfica
- Benfica3-2Moreirense
- Moreirense1-1Benfica
- Benfica3-0Moreirense
- Moreirense0-0Benfica
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Benfica (rating 1464 vs 1591).
- H2H favours Benfica: 4-2-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Moreirense | Benfica | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.7 | 2.8 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 1.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.2 | 3.6 / 7.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Moreirense 0–2–4 Benfica
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Portugal Primeira Liga | Benfica | 4-1 HT 2-1 | Moreirense |
| 14/12/25 Portugal Primeira Liga | Moreirense | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Benfica |
| 08/02/25 Portugal Primeira Liga | Benfica | 3-2 HT 3-1 | Moreirense |
| 30/08/24 Portugal Primeira Liga | Moreirense | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Benfica |
| 14/04/24 Portugal Primeira Liga | Benfica | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Moreirense |
| 03/12/23 Portugal Primeira Liga | Moreirense | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Benfica |
Standings · Portugal Primeira Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arouca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 2 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 6 |
| 3 | Maritimo | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 | Nacional | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| 5 | Sporting | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| 6 | Santa Clara | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 9 | Braga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | Benfica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 11 | Academico Viseu | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 11 | Famalicao | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 13 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 14 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 15 | Moreirense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 | Guimaraes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 | Rio Ave | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Moreirense | Benfica |
|---|---|---|
| Braga | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Estoril | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Benfica (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Moreirense
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Arouca Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 09/08 | Braga Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 01/08 | Amarante Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 22/07 | Santa Clara Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | AVS Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 11/05 | Tondela Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Estrela Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 25/04 | Benfica Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 20/04 | Estoril Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 10/04 | Famalicao Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 11 | D |
Benfica
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Hearts UEFA Europa League Qualifying |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | D |
| 09/08 | Academico Viseu Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 06/08 | Hearts UEFA Europa League Qualifying |
3-0 | 6-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 30/07 | St Gallen UEFA Europa League Qualifying |
1-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 24/07 | CF Os Belenenses Elite Club Friendlies |
3-1 | 5-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 23/07 | St Gallen UEFA Europa League Qualifying |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 17/07 | Villarreal Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 11/07 | Flamengo World Club Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Estoril Portugal Primeira Liga |
3-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 11/05 | Braga Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Moreirense vs Benfica?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Benfica win (48%). Probabilities: Moreirense 29%, draw 23%, Benfica 48%.
How many goals are expected in Moreirense vs Benfica?
The model expects 3.6 goals (Moreirense 1.56 · Benfica 2.04), with a 52% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Moreirense vs Benfica?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.