Football · Portugal Primeira Liga · 14/09, 19:45

Result and prediction: Rio Ave vs Estrela

Final result

Rio Ave 3-3 Estrela

Half time: 1-1

What we said before the match Our favourite did not win · Estrela 37%

34% 28% 37%

Rio AveDrawEstrela

Our model (Elo) vs Market

	Rio Ave	Draw	Estrela
Our model	35%	27%	38%
Market	34%	29%	37%

Estimated total (goals) 2.93 · actual 6

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This is how the model reads today's matches, before they are played.