Prediction: Famalicao vs Sporting
Team pages: Famalicao · Sporting
- Sporting1-0Famalicao
- Famalicao1-2Sporting
- Sporting3-1Famalicao
- Famalicao0-3Sporting
- Famalicao0-1Sporting
- Sporting1-0Famalicao
| Famalicao | Draw | Sporting | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 13% | 25% | 62% |
| Market | 15% | 22% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sporting (rating 1478 vs 1642).
- H2H favours Sporting: 6-0-0.
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Famalicao | Sporting | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 0.9 | 2.9 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 1.6 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 70/30/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6.6 | 3.6 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0 | 3.9 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Famalicao 0–0–6 Sporting
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/26 Portugal Primeira Liga | Sporting | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Famalicao |
| 13/09/25 Portugal Primeira Liga | Famalicao | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Sporting |
| 15/03/25 Portugal Primeira Liga | Sporting | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Famalicao |
| 26/10/24 Portugal Primeira Liga | Famalicao | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Sporting |
| 16/04/24 Portugal Primeira Liga | Famalicao | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Sporting |
| 27/08/23 Portugal Primeira Liga | Sporting | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Famalicao |
Standings · Portugal Primeira Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 18 |
| 2 | Benfica | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 13 |
| 3 | Sporting | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Arouca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Estrela | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 9 | 9 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Braga | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Maritimo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
| 10 | Alverca | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 5 |
| 11 | Academico Viseu | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
| 12 | Guimaraes | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Nacional | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 4 |
| 14 | Moreirense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
| 15 | Famalicao | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 3 |
| 17 | Estoril | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 2 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Famalicao | Sporting |
|---|---|---|
| Estrela | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Gil Vicente | 0-0 D | 3-0 W |
| Alverca | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 0 L | 2 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Sporting (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Famalicao
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Estrela Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Gil Vicente Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 23/08 | Santa Clara Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Maritimo Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 07/08 | Estoril Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Alverca Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 11/05 | Estrela Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Estoril Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | Braga Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 10/04 | Moreirense Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 11 | D |
Sporting
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Nacional Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 28/08 | Rio Ave Portugal Primeira Liga |
4-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 22/08 | Alverca Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 14/08 | Guimaraes Portugal Primeira Liga |
3-0 | 3-2 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 08/08 | Estrela Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | Gil Vicente Portugal Primeira Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 11/05 | Rio Ave Portugal Primeira Liga |
2-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 04/05 | Guimaraes Portugal Primeira Liga |
3-0 | 5-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 29/04 | Tondela Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | AVS Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Famalicao vs Sporting?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Sporting win (62%). Probabilities: Famalicao 14%, draw 24%, Sporting 62%.
How many goals are expected in Famalicao vs Sporting?
The model expects 2.47 goals (Famalicao 0.71 · Sporting 1.77), with a 57% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Famalicao vs Sporting?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.