Football · Portugal Primeira Liga · 30/08, 21:30
Prediction: Famalicao vs Gil Vicente
Team pages: Famalicao · Gil Vicente
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.04Total
Famalicao1.16
Gil Vicente0.88
1X2
Famalicao
Draw
Gil Vicente
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Famalicao
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Gil Vicente
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Famalicao
3–2–1
Gil Vicente
(6 last)
- Gil Vicente5-0Famalicao
- Famalicao0-0Gil Vicente
- Gil Vicente0-2Famalicao
- Famalicao1-1Gil Vicente
- Gil Vicente1-2Famalicao
- Famalicao3-1Gil Vicente
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Famalicao 1490 · Gil Vicente 1515
| Famalicao | Draw | Gil Vicente | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 33% | 27% |
| Market | 43% | 29% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Famalicao: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Famalicao | Gil Vicente | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.9 | 1.1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.5 / 6.5 | 1.7 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Famalicao 3–2–1 Gil Vicente
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 Portugal Primeira Liga | Gil Vicente | 5-0 HT 1-0 | Famalicao |
| 24/08/25 Portugal Primeira Liga | Famalicao | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Gil Vicente |
| 17/02/25 Portugal Primeira Liga | Gil Vicente | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Famalicao |
| 14/09/24 Portugal Primeira Liga | Famalicao | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Gil Vicente |
| 29/03/24 Portugal Primeira Liga | Gil Vicente | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Famalicao |
| 04/11/23 Portugal Primeira Liga | Famalicao | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Gil Vicente |
Standings · Portugal Primeira Liga
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Sporting | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 7 |
| 3 | Maritimo | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Arouca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 |
| 7 | Benfica | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Nacional | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Guimaraes | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 11 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| 12 | Academico Viseu | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 2 |
| 13 | Braga | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | Famalicao | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 15 | Alverca | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 1 |
| 16 | Moreirense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
| 17 | Estoril | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Famalicao
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Santa Clara Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | Maritimo Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 07/08 | Estoril Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Alverca Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 11/05 | Estrela Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Estoril Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | Braga Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 10/04 | Moreirense Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 11 | D |
| 04/04 | FC Porto Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 21/03 | Nacional Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
Gil Vicente
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Casa Pia Portugal Primeira Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Rio Ave Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Sporting Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 11/05 | Arouca Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Rio Ave Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 27/04 | Casa Pia Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 18/04 | Guimaraes Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 13/04 | Tondela Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 03/04 | AVS Portugal Primeira Liga |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 21/03 | Santa Clara Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Famalicao vs Gil Vicente?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Famalicao win (42%). Probabilities: Famalicao 42%, draw 31%, Gil Vicente 28%.
How many goals are expected in Famalicao vs Gil Vicente?
The model expects 2.04 goals (Famalicao 1.16 · Gil Vicente 0.88), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Famalicao vs Gil Vicente?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.