Football · Portugal Primeira Liga · 12/09, 19:00

Result and prediction: Casa Pia vs FC Porto

Final result

Casa Pia 1-4 FC Porto

Half time: 1-1

What we said before the match Our favourite won · FC Porto 77%

7% 16% 77%

Casa PiaDrawFC Porto

Our model (Elo) vs Market

	Casa Pia	Draw	FC Porto
Our model	5%	19%	75%
Market	9%	13%	78%

Estimated total (goals) 2.37 · actual 5

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This is how the model reads today's matches, before they are played.