Prediction: Benfica vs Gil Vicente
Team pages: Benfica · Gil Vicente
- Gil Vicente1-2Benfica
- Benfica2-1Gil Vicente
- Gil Vicente0-3Benfica
- Benfica5-1Gil Vicente
- Benfica3-0Gil Vicente
- Gil Vicente2-3Benfica
| Benfica | Draw | Gil Vicente | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 79% | 15% | 6% |
| Market | 82% | 13% | 4% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Benfica (rating 1679 vs 1473).
- H2H favours Benfica: 6-0-0.
- High corners: 13.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Benfica | Gil Vicente | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 3.1 / 0.8 | 0.8 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.4 / 0.1 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 90/10/0% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.1 / 8.3 | 1.7 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Benfica 6–0–0 Gil Vicente
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/03/26 Portugal Primeira Liga | Gil Vicente | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Benfica |
| 26/09/25 Portugal Primeira Liga | Benfica | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Gil Vicente |
| 28/03/25 Portugal Primeira Liga | Gil Vicente | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Benfica |
| 28/09/24 Portugal Primeira Liga | Benfica | 5-1 HT 2-1 | Gil Vicente |
| 04/02/24 Portugal Primeira Liga | Benfica | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Gil Vicente |
| 26/08/23 Portugal Primeira Liga | Gil Vicente | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Benfica |
Standings · Portugal Primeira Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 18 |
| 2 | Benfica | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 18 | 3 | 13 |
| 3 | Sporting | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 11 |
| 5 | Arouca | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Estrela | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 9 | 9 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Braga | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Maritimo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 7 |
| 10 | Alverca | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 5 |
| 11 | Academico Viseu | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 5 |
| 12 | Guimaraes | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 4 |
| 13 | Nacional | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 4 |
| 14 | Moreirense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 4 |
| 15 | Famalicao | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 |
| 16 | Rio Ave | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 3 |
| 17 | Estoril | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 2 |
| 18 | Casa Pia | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 1 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Benfica | Gil Vicente |
|---|---|---|
| Casa Pia | 7-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Academico Viseu | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Sporting | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Benfica (3 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Benfica
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | Moreirense Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 05/09 | Maritimo Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 31/08 | Estoril Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 17/08 | Casa Pia Portugal Primeira Liga |
2-0 | 7-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 09/08 | Academico Viseu Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 16/05 | Estoril Portugal Primeira Liga |
3-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 11/05 | Braga Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Moreirense Portugal Primeira Liga |
2-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 19/04 | Sporting Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 12/04 | Nacional Portugal Primeira Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 15 | 6 | W |
Gil Vicente
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Academico Viseu Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 30/08 | Famalicao Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 24/08 | Casa Pia Portugal Primeira Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | Rio Ave Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Sporting Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 11/05 | Arouca Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Rio Ave Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 27/04 | Casa Pia Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 18/04 | Guimaraes Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 13/04 | Tondela Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Benfica vs Gil Vicente?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Benfica win (81%). Probabilities: Benfica 81%, draw 14%, Gil Vicente 5%.
How many goals are expected in Benfica vs Gil Vicente?
The model expects 3.24 goals (Benfica 2.62 · Gil Vicente 0.62), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Benfica vs Gil Vicente?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.