Football · Portugal Primeira Liga · 25/10, 16:30

Result and prediction: Estoril vs Moreirense

Final result

Estoril 1-3 Moreirense

Half time: 0-3

What we said before the match Our favourite did not win · Estoril 50%

50% 27% 23%

EstorilDrawMoreirense

Our model (Elo) vs Market

	Estoril	Draw	Moreirense
Our model	49%	29%	22%
Market	51%	26%	23%

Estimated total (goals) 2.35 · actual 4

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This is how the model reads today's matches, before they are played.