Football · Portugal Primeira Liga · 31/10, 21:30
Prediction: FC Porto vs Estoril
Team pages: FC Porto · Estoril
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.7Total
FC Porto2.24
Estoril0.46
1X2
FC Porto
Draw
Estoril
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Not both to score 55%
Most likely score
2-0 17%
Recent form · 10 last
FC Porto
10-0-0 (W-D-L)
Estoril
0-3-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
FC Porto
5–1
Estoril
(6 last)
- Estoril1-3FC Porto
- FC Porto1-0Estoril
- Estoril1-2FC Porto
- FC Porto4-0Estoril
- Estoril1-0FC Porto
- Estoril0-4FC Porto
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Porto (rating 1609 vs 1396).
- H2H favours FC Porto: 5-0-1.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Porto | Estoril | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 0 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 7 | 2.3 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.3 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Porto 5–0–1 Estoril
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Portugal Primeira Liga | Estoril | 1-3 HT 0-2 | FC Porto |
| 30/11/25 Portugal Primeira Liga | FC Porto | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Estoril |
| 30/03/25 Portugal Primeira Liga | Estoril | 1-2 HT 1-1 | FC Porto |
| 03/11/24 Portugal Primeira Liga | FC Porto | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Estoril |
| 30/03/24 Portugal Primeira Liga | Estoril | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Porto |
| 09/01/24 Portugal Cup | Estoril | 0-4 HT 0-2 | FC Porto |
Standings · Portugal Primeira Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 4 | 27 |
| 2 | Benfica | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 8 | 22 |
| 3 | Sporting | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 11 | 18 |
| 4 | Santa Clara | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 18 |
| 5 | Arouca | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 7 | 17 |
| 6 | Academico Viseu | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 17 |
| 7 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 14 |
| 8 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 11 |
| 9 | Braga | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 11 |
| 10 | Moreirense | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | 11 |
| 11 | Famalicao | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 10 |
| 12 | Estrela | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 17 | 10 |
| 13 | Guimaraes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
| 14 | Maritimo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 19 | 8 |
| 15 | Nacional | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 7 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 7 |
| 17 | Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 7 |
| 18 | Estoril | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 2 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FC Porto | Estoril |
|---|---|---|
| Benfica | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Casa Pia | 4-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Academico Viseu | 3-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Arouca | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Rio Ave | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Alverca | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 0 L | 0 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: FC Porto (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Porto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Gil Vicente Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 10/10 | Maritimo Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 20/09 | Benfica Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 12/09 | Casa Pia Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-1 | 4-1 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 04/09 | Moreirense Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 29/08 | Academico Viseu Portugal Primeira Liga |
3-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 23/08 | Arouca Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 12 | 1 | W |
| 15/08 | Rio Ave Portugal Primeira Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 09/08 | Alverca Portugal Primeira Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Santa Clara Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
Estoril
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Academico Viseu Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 20/09 | Casa Pia Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 14/09 | Braga Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 07/09 | Arouca Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 31/08 | Benfica Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 22/08 | Rio Ave Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 16/08 | Nacional Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 07/08 | Famalicao Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Benfica Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Alverca Portugal Primeira Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Porto vs Estoril?
According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Porto win (78%). Probabilities: FC Porto 78%, draw 17%, Estoril 5%.
How many goals are expected in FC Porto vs Estoril?
The model expects 2.7 goals (FC Porto 2.24 · Estoril 0.46), with a 58% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Porto vs Estoril?
The model gives a 55% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.