Football · Iceland 4 Deild · 28/07, 21:15
Prediction: Arborg vs Vaengir Jupiters
Team pages: Arborg · Vaengir Jupiters
Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.48Total
Arborg2.81
Vaengir Jupiters1.67
1X2
Arborg
Draw
Vaengir Jupiters
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 63%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Arborg
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Vaengir Jupiters
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Arborg
2–2–2
Vaengir Jupiters
(6 last)
- Vaengir Jupiters1-3Arborg
- Vaengir Jupiters0-2Arborg
- Arborg2-2Vaengir Jupiters
- Arborg1-1Vaengir Jupiters
- Vaengir Jupiters6-2Arborg
- Vaengir Jupiters2-1Arborg
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 85%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arborg (rating 1571 vs 1454).
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Arborg | Vaengir Jupiters | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1 | 2.4 / 2.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.6 / 0.7 | 1.2 / 1.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.1 / 5.8 | 2.8 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0 | 4.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Arborg 2–2–2 Vaengir Jupiters
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/05/26 Iceland 4 Deild | Vaengir Jupiters | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Arborg |
| 28/08/25 Iceland 4 Deild | Vaengir Jupiters | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Arborg |
| 28/06/25 Iceland 4 Deild | Arborg | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Vaengir Jupiters |
| 24/08/23 Iceland 4 Deild | Arborg | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Vaengir Jupiters |
| 26/06/23 Iceland 4 Deild | Vaengir Jupiters | 6-2 HT 5-1 | Arborg |
| 31/08/21 Iceland 4 Deild | Vaengir Jupiters | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Arborg |
Standings · Iceland 4 Deild
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alftanes | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 13 | 33 |
| 2 | Hamar Hveragerdi | 12 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 50 | 20 | 31 |
| 3 | Arborg | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 32 | 6 | 25 |
| 4 | Ellidi | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 31 | 33 | 19 |
| 5 | Ulfarnir | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 15 |
| 6 | Vaengir Jupiters | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 25 | 32 | 11 |
| 7 | IH Hafnarfjordur | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 30 | 41 | 10 |
| 8 | Alafoss | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 16 | 32 | 8 |
| 9 | KFR Hvolsvöllur | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 26 | 44 | 8 |
| 10 | KF Hafnir | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 49 | 7 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Arborg | Vaengir Jupiters |
|---|---|---|
| Ulfarnir | 2-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Alafoss | 4-0 W | 3-1 W |
| KFR Hvolsvöllur | 4-0 W | 3-5 L |
| Alftanes | 0-1 L | 0-5 L |
| Ellidi | 6-0 W | 4-6 L |
| Hamar Hveragerdi | 0-3 L | 1-5 L |
| IH Hafnarfjordur | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| KF Hafnir | 8-0 W | 6-0 W |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Arborg (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arborg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Ulfarnir Iceland 4 Deild |
0-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 17/07 | Alafoss Iceland 4 Deild |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/07 | UMF Selfoss Iceland Lower League Cup |
0-4 | 0-5 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 02/07 | KFR Hvolsvöllur Iceland 4 Deild |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 23/06 | Alftanes Iceland 4 Deild |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 18/06 | Ellidi Iceland 4 Deild |
5-0 | 6-0 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 11/06 | Hamar Hveragerdi Iceland 4 Deild |
0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 04/06 | IH Hafnarfjordur Iceland 4 Deild |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | KF Hafnir Iceland 4 Deild |
6-0 | 8-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 21/05 | Ulfarnir Iceland 4 Deild |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
Vaengir Jupiters
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07 | Alftanes Iceland 4 Deild |
0-1 | 0-5 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 18/07 | Ellidi Iceland 4 Deild |
2-4 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 02/07 | IH Hafnarfjordur Iceland 4 Deild |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 25/06 | KF Hafnir Iceland 4 Deild |
2-0 | 6-0 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 19/06 | Ulfarnir Iceland 4 Deild |
1-2 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 11/06 | Alafoss Iceland 4 Deild |
3-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 04/06 | Hamar Hveragerdi Iceland 4 Deild |
1-2 | 1-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | KFR Hvolsvöllur Iceland 4 Deild |
0-3 | 3-5 | – | – | L |
| 21/05 | Alftanes Iceland 4 Deild |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 14/05 | Ellidi Iceland 4 Deild |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arborg vs Vaengir Jupiters?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Arborg win (61%). Probabilities: Arborg 61%, draw 18%, Vaengir Jupiters 21%.
How many goals are expected in Arborg vs Vaengir Jupiters?
The model expects 4.48 goals (Arborg 2.81 · Vaengir Jupiters 1.67), with a 52% chance of over 4.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Arborg vs Vaengir Jupiters?
The model gives a 63% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.