Football · Portugal Segunda Liga · 25/10, 15:00
Prediction: Felgueiras 1932 vs Lusitania Lourosa
Team pages: Felgueiras 1932 · Lusitania Lourosa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.19Total
Felgueiras 19321.17
Lusitania Lourosa1.02
1X2
Felgueiras 1932
Draw
Lusitania Lourosa
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Felgueiras 1932
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Lusitania Lourosa
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Felgueiras 1932
3–1–2
Lusitania Lourosa
(6 last)
- Lusitania Lourosa2-1Felgueiras 1932
- Felgueiras 19323-1Lusitania Lourosa
- Felgueiras 19322-0Lusitania Lourosa
- Lusitania Lourosa1-0Felgueiras 1932
- Felgueiras 19322-1Lusitania Lourosa
- Lusitania Lourosa0-0Felgueiras 1932
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Felgueiras 1932 1507 · Lusitania Lourosa 1571
| Felgueiras 1932 | Draw | Lusitania Lourosa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 32% | 30% |
| Market | 39% | 31% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.19 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lusitania Lourosa (rating 1507 vs 1571).
- H2H favours Felgueiras 1932: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Felgueiras 1932 | Lusitania Lourosa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1 | 1.4 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.6 | 2.3 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.9 / 0.3 | 5.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Felgueiras 1932 3–1–2 Lusitania Lourosa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/02/26 Portugal Segunda Liga | Lusitania Lourosa | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Felgueiras 1932 |
| 30/08/25 Portugal Segunda Liga | Felgueiras 1932 | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Lusitania Lourosa |
| 28/04/24 Portugal Liga 3 | Felgueiras 1932 | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Lusitania Lourosa |
| 02/03/24 Portugal Liga 3 | Lusitania Lourosa | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Felgueiras 1932 |
| 05/11/23 Portugal Liga 3 | Felgueiras 1932 | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Lusitania Lourosa |
| 08/08/23 Portugal Liga 3 | Lusitania Lourosa | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Felgueiras 1932 |
Standings · Portugal Segunda Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lusitania Lourosa | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 17 |
| 2 | Sporting B | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | SC Farense | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Penafiel | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 7 | 13 |
| 5 | Benfica B | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 13 |
| 6 | Academica | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 12 |
| 7 | Tondela | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 12 |
| 8 | Vizela | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 |
| 9 | UD Leiria | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 10 |
| 10 | Leixoes | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 10 |
| 11 | Portimonense | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 10 |
| 12 | AVS | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 9 |
| 13 | FC Porto B | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 7 |
| 14 | Felgueiras 1932 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| 15 | SCU Torreense | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 6 |
| 16 | Amarante | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 5 |
| 17 | Chaves | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 5 |
| 18 | Feirense | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 1 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Felgueiras 1932 | Lusitania Lourosa |
|---|---|---|
| Chaves | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| AVS | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| UD Oliveirense | 5-1 W | 0-0 D |
| FC Porto B | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 2 W 2 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Felgueiras 1932
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Benfica B Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 12/09 | Penafiel Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Vizela Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 30/08 | Chaves Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 24/08 | SC Farense Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 17/08 | AVS Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 09/08 | Feirense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | UD Oliveirense Portugal Segunda Liga |
2-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Portimonense Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 04/05 | FC Porto B Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 10 | L |
Lusitania Lourosa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Chaves Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 14/09 | Sporting B Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 07/09 | AVS Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 7 | W |
| 29/08 | Academica Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 22/08 | SCU Torreense Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 16/08 | Amarante Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 10/08 | FC Porto B Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 17/05 | Leixoes Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | SCU Torreense Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | UD Oliveirense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Felgueiras 1932 vs Lusitania Lourosa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Felgueiras 1932 win (38%). Probabilities: Felgueiras 1932 38%, draw 31%, Lusitania Lourosa 31%.
How many goals are expected in Felgueiras 1932 vs Lusitania Lourosa?
The model expects 2.19 goals (Felgueiras 1932 1.17 · Lusitania Lourosa 1.02), with a 52% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in Felgueiras 1932 vs Lusitania Lourosa?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.