Football · Portugal Segunda Liga · 31/10, 16:30
Prediction: Leixoes vs Sporting B
Team pages: Leixoes · Sporting B
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Leixoes1.39
Sporting B0.93
1X2
Leixoes
Draw
Sporting B
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Leixoes
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Sporting B
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Leixoes
1–2–3
Sporting B
(6 last)
- Sporting B0-1Leixoes
- Leixoes0-4Sporting B
- Leixoes1-1Sporting B
- Sporting B1-1Leixoes
- Leixoes1-2Sporting B
- Sporting B2-1Leixoes
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Leixoes 1517 · Sporting B 1533
| Leixoes | Draw | Sporting B | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 30% | 24% |
| Market | 47% | 29% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Sporting B: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Leixoes | Sporting B | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.4 | 1.3 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.2 | 1.9 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.6 / 0.5 | 4.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Leixoes 1–2–3 Sporting B
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/26 Portugal Segunda Liga | Sporting B | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Leixoes |
| 05/10/25 Portugal Segunda Liga | Leixoes | 0-4 HT 0-2 | Sporting B |
| 18/03/18 Portugal Segunda Liga | Leixoes | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Sporting B |
| 29/10/17 Portugal Segunda Liga | Sporting B | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Leixoes |
| 19/03/17 Portugal Segunda Liga | Leixoes | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Sporting B |
| 23/10/16 Portugal Segunda Liga | Sporting B | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Leixoes |
Standings · Portugal Segunda Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lusitania Lourosa | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 7 | 18 |
| 2 | Sporting B | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 18 |
| 3 | Penafiel | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 16 |
| 4 | Academica | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 15 |
| 5 | SC Farense | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10 | 14 |
| 6 | Benfica B | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 14 |
| 7 | AVS | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 12 |
| 8 | Tondela | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 8 | 12 |
| 9 | Vizela | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 11 |
| 10 | UD Leiria | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 11 |
| 11 | Leixoes | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 10 |
| 12 | Portimonense | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 10 |
| 13 | SCU Torreense | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 9 |
| 14 | Chaves | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 8 |
| 15 | FC Porto B | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 8 |
| 16 | Felgueiras 1932 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | Amarante | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 5 |
| 18 | Feirense | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 2 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Leixoes | Sporting B |
|---|---|---|
| FC Porto B | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Portimonense | 2-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Lusitania Lourosa | 2-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Chaves | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Leixoes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Academica Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-2 | 0-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | FC Porto B Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 8 | L |
| 11/09 | SCU Torreense Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 06/09 | Amarante Portugal Segunda Liga |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | Portimonense Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 22/08 | UD Leiria Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-2 | 2-4 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 16/08 | Tondela Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 10/08 | Benfica B Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 17/05 | Lusitania Lourosa Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Chaves Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
Sporting B
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Portimonense Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 10/10 | Vizela Portugal Segunda Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 14/09 | Lusitania Lourosa Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Feirense Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 30/08 | SC Farense Portugal Segunda Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 23/08 | Penafiel Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 15/08 | Chaves Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 09/08 | AVS Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Academico Viseu Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | FC Porto B Portugal Segunda Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Leixoes vs Sporting B?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Leixoes win (47%). Probabilities: Leixoes 47%, draw 29%, Sporting B 24%.
How many goals are expected in Leixoes vs Sporting B?
The model expects 2.31 goals (Leixoes 1.39 · Sporting B 0.93), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Leixoes vs Sporting B?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.