Football · Portugal Segunda Liga · 31/10, 15:00

Prediction: Portimonense vs SCU Torreense

Team pages: Portimonense · SCU Torreense

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.16Total

Portimonense1.08

SCU Torreense1.08

1X2

35% 31% 35%

Portimonense Draw SCU Torreense

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-1 15%

Recent form · 10 last

Portimonense 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWWWDLLLWL

SCU Torreense 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWLDDLWDLW

Head-to-head

Portimonense 0–4 SCU Torreense (4 last)

SCU Torreense1-0Portimonense
Portimonense0-1SCU Torreense
Portimonense1-2SCU Torreense
SCU Torreense3-2Portimonense

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Portimonense 1504 · SCU Torreense 1509

	Portimonense	Draw	SCU Torreense
Our model	34%	32%	34%
Market	35%	30%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.16 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SCU Torreense: 4-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Portimonense	SCU Torreense
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.1	1.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3.3	1.7 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.1	4.5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.60

X3.10

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.82

Under 2.251.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.43 ★
2	2.60 → 2.60	Pinn 2.64

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 9.2% Pinnacle margin 6.2%

Time*	1	X	2
04:08 +4’	2.60	3.10	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
22:14 +1’	2.28	3.27	3.05
23:11 +2’	2.58▲	3.39▲	2.56▼
00:12 +3’	2.61▲	3.43▲	2.59▲
15:49 +9’	2.55▼	3.43	2.64▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Portimonense 0–0–4 SCU Torreense

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/03/26 Portugal Segunda Liga	SCU Torreense	1-0 HT 1-0	Portimonense
30/10/25 Portugal Segunda Liga	Portimonense	0-1 HT 0-0	SCU Torreense
16/02/25 Portugal Segunda Liga	Portimonense	1-2 HT 0-0	SCU Torreense
13/09/24 Portugal Segunda Liga	SCU Torreense	3-2 HT 1-0	Portimonense

Standings · Portugal Segunda Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lusitania Lourosa	8	5	3	0	14	7	18
2	Sporting B	8	6	0	2	13	6	18
3	Penafiel	8	5	1	2	18	8	16
4	Academica	8	5	0	3	14	10	15
5	SC Farense	8	4	2	2	14	10	14
6	Benfica B	8	4	2	2	8	5	14
7	AVS	8	3	3	2	10	8	12
8	Tondela	8	4	0	4	9	8	12
9	Vizela	8	3	2	3	8	8	11
10	UD Leiria	8	3	2	3	11	10	11
11	Leixoes	8	3	1	4	9	12	10
12	Portimonense	8	3	1	4	6	10	10
13	SCU Torreense	8	2	3	3	8	10	9
14	Chaves	8	2	2	4	8	15	8
15	FC Porto B	8	2	2	4	7	15	8
16	Felgueiras 1932	8	1	4	3	7	9	7
17	Amarante	8	1	2	5	6	11	5
18	Feirense	8	0	2	6	2	10	2

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Portimonense	SCU Torreense
Amarante	2-1 W	1-0 W
Tondela	0-2 L	0-1 L
Leixoes	0-2 L	0-0 D
Benfica B	1-1 D	2-0 W
Vizela	2-0 W	0-3 L
Penafiel	1-0 W	2-2 D
SC Farense	1-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Portimonense

DWWWDLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Sporting B Portugal Segunda Liga	0-1	0-3	5	4	L
10/10	Amarante Portugal Segunda Liga	0-0	2-1	3	5	W
12/09	Tondela Portugal Segunda Liga	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
06/09	UD Leiria Portugal Segunda Liga	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
29/08	Leixoes Portugal Segunda Liga	0-1	0-2	2	6	L
21/08	Benfica B Portugal Segunda Liga	1-0	1-1	1	7	D
16/08	Vizela Portugal Segunda Liga	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
08/08	Penafiel Portugal Segunda Liga	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
17/05	SC Farense Portugal Segunda Liga	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
09/05	Felgueiras 1932 Portugal Segunda Liga	1-1	1-1	7	4	D

SCU Torreense

WWLDDLWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/10	Amarante Portugal Segunda Liga	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
10/10	Tondela Portugal Segunda Liga	0-0	0-1	2	10	L
11/09	Leixoes Portugal Segunda Liga	0-0	0-0	9	3	D
05/09	Benfica B Portugal Segunda Liga	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
29/08	Vizela Portugal Segunda Liga	0-2	0-3	8	4	L
22/08	Lusitania Lourosa Portugal Segunda Liga	0-1	2-2	5	5	D
15/08	Penafiel Portugal Segunda Liga	0-2	2-2	3	8	D
09/08	SC Farense Portugal Segunda Liga	0-0	1-2	3	2	L
16/05	Vizela Portugal Segunda Liga	1-0	4-0	3	3	W
09/05	Lusitania Lourosa Portugal Segunda Liga	0-1	2-1	7	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Portimonense vs SCU Torreense?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Portimonense win (35%). Probabilities: Portimonense 35%, draw 31%, SCU Torreense 35%.

How many goals are expected in Portimonense vs SCU Torreense?

The model expects 2.16 goals (Portimonense 1.08 · SCU Torreense 1.08), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Portimonense vs SCU Torreense?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.