Football · Portugal Segunda Liga · 24/10, 12:00

Prediction: Sporting B vs Portimonense

Team pages: Sporting B · Portimonense

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.41Total

Sporting B1.4

Portimonense1.01

1X2

45% 29% 26%

Sporting B Draw Portimonense

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Sporting B 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LLDWWLWWLW

Portimonense 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDWWWDLLLW

Head-to-head

Sporting B 2–1–3 Portimonense (6 last)

Sporting B4-3Portimonense
Portimonense1-2Sporting B
Portimonense4-0Sporting B
Sporting B1-2Portimonense
Portimonense2-0Sporting B
Sporting B1-1Portimonense

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sporting B 1527 · Portimonense 1524

	Sporting B	Draw	Portimonense
Our model	44%	29%	26%
Market	45%	29%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.41 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Portimonense: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sporting B	Portimonense
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.8	1.1 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.3	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.4	1.6 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.5	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.10

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.77

2 (+0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.90

Under 2.251.90

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 1.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Pinn 2.01
X	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.33
2	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.79 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 6.2%

Time*	1	X	2
23:58 +26’	2.00	3.10	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:26 +718’	2.01	3.33	3.79

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sporting B 2–1–3 Portimonense

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
15/02/26 Portugal Segunda Liga	Sporting B	4-3 HT 1-2	Portimonense
14/09/25 Portugal Segunda Liga	Portimonense	1-2 HT 1-0	Sporting B
15/01/17 Portugal Segunda Liga	Portimonense	4-0 HT 2-0	Sporting B
06/08/16 Portugal Segunda Liga	Sporting B	1-2 HT 1-0	Portimonense
06/02/16 Portugal Segunda Liga	Portimonense	2-0 HT 0-0	Sporting B
30/08/15 Portugal Segunda Liga	Sporting B	1-1 HT 0-1	Portimonense

Standings · Portugal Segunda Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Lusitania Lourosa	7	5	2	0	12	5	17
2	Sporting B	7	5	0	2	10	6	15
3	SC Farense	7	4	2	1	13	6	14
4	Penafiel	7	4	1	2	14	7	13
5	Benfica B	7	4	1	2	8	5	13
6	Academica	7	4	0	3	10	10	12
7	Tondela	7	4	0	3	8	6	12
8	Vizela	7	3	2	2	7	6	11
9	UD Leiria	7	3	1	3	10	9	10
10	Leixoes	7	3	1	3	9	8	10
11	Portimonense	7	3	1	3	6	7	10
12	AVS	7	2	3	2	8	7	9
13	FC Porto B	7	2	1	4	6	14	7
14	Felgueiras 1932	7	1	3	3	5	7	6
15	SCU Torreense	7	1	3	3	7	10	6
16	Amarante	7	1	2	4	6	10	5
17	Chaves	7	1	2	4	6	14	5
18	Feirense	7	0	1	6	2	10	1

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sporting B	Portimonense
Vizela	2-0 W	2-0 W
SC Farense	2-1 W	1-0 W
Penafiel	0-2 L	1-0 W
Chaves	1-0 W	3-2 W
Benfica B	0-1 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 2 L	4 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Portimonense (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Sporting B

LLDWWLWWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Vizela Portugal Segunda Liga	2-0	2-0	2	4	W
14/09	Lusitania Lourosa Portugal Segunda Liga	1-1	1-2	3	5	L
05/09	Feirense Portugal Segunda Liga	1-0	3-1	3	3	W
30/08	SC Farense Portugal Segunda Liga	1-0	2-1	4	8	W
23/08	Penafiel Portugal Segunda Liga	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
15/08	Chaves Portugal Segunda Liga	0-0	1-0	2	7	W
09/08	AVS Portugal Segunda Liga	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
16/05	Academico Viseu Portugal Segunda Liga	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
09/05	FC Porto B Portugal Segunda Liga	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
01/05	Benfica B Portugal Segunda Liga	0-0	0-1	2	11	L

Portimonense

WDWWWDLLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Amarante Portugal Segunda Liga	0-0	2-1	3	5	W
12/09	Tondela Portugal Segunda Liga	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
06/09	UD Leiria Portugal Segunda Liga	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
29/08	Leixoes Portugal Segunda Liga	0-1	0-2	2	6	L
21/08	Benfica B Portugal Segunda Liga	1-0	1-1	1	7	D
16/08	Vizela Portugal Segunda Liga	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
08/08	Penafiel Portugal Segunda Liga	0-0	1-0	4	3	W
17/05	SC Farense Portugal Segunda Liga	1-0	1-0	4	2	W
09/05	Felgueiras 1932 Portugal Segunda Liga	1-1	1-1	7	4	D
03/05	Chaves Portugal Segunda Liga	2-2	3-2	7	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sporting B vs Portimonense?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Sporting B win (45%). Probabilities: Sporting B 45%, draw 29%, Portimonense 26%.

How many goals are expected in Sporting B vs Portimonense?

The model expects 2.41 goals (Sporting B 1.4 · Portimonense 1.01), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Sporting B vs Portimonense?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.