Football · Germany Bundesliga I · 19/09, 15:30
Prediction: Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg
Team pages: Eintracht Frankfurt · SC Freiburg
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.92Total
Eintracht Frankfurt2.06
SC Freiburg1.85
1X2
Eintracht Frankfurt
Draw
SC Freiburg
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 62%
Most likely score
1-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Eintracht Frankfurt
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
SC Freiburg
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Eintracht Frankfurt
3–2–1
SC Freiburg
(6 last)
- Eintracht Frankfurt2-0SC Freiburg
- SC Freiburg2-2Eintracht Frankfurt
- SC Freiburg1-3Eintracht Frankfurt
- Eintracht Frankfurt4-1SC Freiburg
- SC Freiburg3-3Eintracht Frankfurt
- Eintracht Frankfurt2-5SC Freiburg
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eintracht Frankfurt 1566 · SC Freiburg 1610
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | SC Freiburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 22% | 35% |
| Market | 41% | 25% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.92 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SC Freiburg (rating 1566 vs 1610).
- H2H favours Eintracht Frankfurt: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Eintracht Frankfurt | SC Freiburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2.2 | 2.2 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.9 | 1.9 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.1 | 3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Eintracht Frankfurt 3–2–1 SC Freiburg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Germany Bundesliga I | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2-0 HT 0-0 | SC Freiburg |
| 19/10/25 Germany Bundesliga I | SC Freiburg | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 17/05/25 Germany Bundesliga I | SC Freiburg | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 14/01/25 Germany Bundesliga I | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4-1 HT 1-1 | SC Freiburg |
| 18/02/24 Germany Bundesliga I | SC Freiburg | 3-3 HT 2-2 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 06/01/24 Elite Club Friendlies | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2-5 HT 1-2 | SC Freiburg |
Standings · Germany Bundesliga I
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SC Freiburg | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Augsburg | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | Bayern Munich | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 |
| 6 | Elversberg | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 6 |
| 7 | Bayer Leverkusen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 4 |
| 8 | Mainz | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 4 |
| 10 | Werder Bremen | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 11 | Schalke | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
| 12 | Cologne | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 13 | TSG Hoffenheim | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 3 |
| 14 | VfB Stuttgart | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
| 15 | Paderborn | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 1 |
| 17 | Borussia M'gladbach | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 | Hamburg | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Eintracht Frankfurt | SC Freiburg |
|---|---|---|
| Mainz | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Borussia Dortmund | 2-3 L | 0-4 L |
| Hamburg | 1-2 L | 2-3 L |
| RB Leipzig | 1-3 L | 4-1 W |
| Wolfsburg | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Eintracht Frankfurt (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eintracht Frankfurt
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Mainz Germany Bundesliga I |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Augsburg Germany Bundesliga I |
1-0 | 1-4 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Union Berlin Germany Bundesliga I |
2-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 16/05 | VfB Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga I |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 08/05 | Borussia Dortmund Germany Bundesliga I |
1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Hamburg Germany Bundesliga I |
0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Augsburg Germany Bundesliga I |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | RB Leipzig Germany Bundesliga I |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 11/04 | Wolfsburg Germany Bundesliga I |
2-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 05/04 | Cologne Germany Bundesliga I |
0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
SC Freiburg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09 | Borussia M'gladbach Germany Bundesliga I |
2-0 | 5-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Paderborn Germany Bundesliga I |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 30/08 | Werder Bremen Germany Bundesliga I |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 16/05 | RB Leipzig Germany Bundesliga I |
2-1 | 4-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Hamburg Germany Bundesliga I |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Wolfsburg Germany Bundesliga I |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 26/04 | Borussia Dortmund Germany Bundesliga I |
0-3 | 0-4 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 19/04 | Heidenheim Germany Bundesliga I |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 12/04 | Mainz Germany Bundesliga I |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 04/04 | Bayern Munich Germany Bundesliga I |
0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Eintracht Frankfurt win (42%). Probabilities: Eintracht Frankfurt 42%, draw 24%, SC Freiburg 34%.
How many goals are expected in Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg?
The model expects 3.92 goals (Eintracht Frankfurt 2.06 · SC Freiburg 1.85), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg?
The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.