Football · Germany Bundesliga I · 24/10, 18:30

Prediction: Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt

Team pages: Borussia Dortmund · Eintracht Frankfurt

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.84Total

Borussia Dortmund2.53

Eintracht Frankfurt1.31

1X2

63% 19% 18%

Borussia Dortmund Draw Eintracht Frankfurt

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Borussia Dortmund 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WLWWWWWWDD

Eintracht Frankfurt 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DLLDDLWDLW

Head-to-head

Borussia Dortmund 3–2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt (6 last)

Borussia Dortmund3-2Eintracht Frankfurt
Eintracht Frankfurt3-3Borussia Dortmund
Eintracht Frankfurt1-1Borussia Dortmund
Eintracht Frankfurt2-0Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund2-0Eintracht Frankfurt
Borussia Dortmund3-1Eintracht Frankfurt

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Borussia Dortmund 1582 · Eintracht Frankfurt 1517

	Borussia Dortmund	Draw	Eintracht Frankfurt
Our model	63%	19%	18%
Market	63%	19%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.84 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Borussia Dortmund (rating 1582 vs 1517).
H2H favours Borussia Dortmund: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Borussia Dortmund	Eintracht Frankfurt
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 0.7	1.6 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.2	0.8 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.6	2.5 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.1	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.48

X5.00

25.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.95

2 (+1.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.52.02

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.48	Bet365 1.48
X	5.00 → 5.00	Pinn 5.30
2	5.25 → 5.25	Pinn 5.95 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 6.6% Pinnacle margin 3.8%

Time*	1	X	2
00:28 +4’	1.48	5.00	5.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
18:34 +359’	1.45	5.15	5.76
20:51 +31’	1.47▲	5.30▲	5.95▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Borussia Dortmund 3–2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Germany Bundesliga I	Borussia Dortmund	3-2 HT 2-1	Eintracht Frankfurt
09/01/26 Germany Bundesliga I	Eintracht Frankfurt	3-3 HT 1-1	Borussia Dortmund
28/10/25 Germany DFB Pokal	Eintracht Frankfurt	1-1 HT 1-0	Borussia Dortmund
17/01/25 Germany Bundesliga I	Eintracht Frankfurt	2-0 HT 1-0	Borussia Dortmund
24/08/24 Germany Bundesliga I	Borussia Dortmund	2-0 HT 0-0	Eintracht Frankfurt
17/03/24 Germany Bundesliga I	Borussia Dortmund	3-1 HT 1-1	Eintracht Frankfurt

Standings · Germany Bundesliga I

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	6	4	2	0	22	5	14
2	Borussia Dortmund	6	4	2	0	11	4	14
3	SC Freiburg	6	4	1	1	15	6	13
4	Bayer Leverkusen	6	4	1	1	16	9	13
5	Mainz	6	3	1	2	14	10	10
6	Elversberg	6	3	1	2	12	11	10
7	RB Leipzig	6	3	0	3	16	11	9
8	Werder Bremen	6	2	3	1	12	12	9
9	Hamburg	6	3	0	3	6	15	9
10	Augsburg	6	2	2	2	16	12	8
11	Eintracht Frankfurt	6	2	2	2	10	16	8
12	Cologne	6	2	1	3	8	11	7
13	VfB Stuttgart	6	2	0	4	8	10	6
14	Schalke	6	1	2	3	4	7	5
15	Paderborn	6	1	2	3	5	9	5
16	Union Berlin	6	1	2	3	5	17	5
17	TSG Hoffenheim	5	1	0	4	9	13	3
18	Borussia M'gladbach	5	0	0	5	7	18	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Borussia Dortmund	Eintracht Frankfurt
Union Berlin	0-0 D	3-3 D
VfB Stuttgart	1-0 W	2-2 D
Hamburg	2-0 W	1-2 L
SC Freiburg	4-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 0 L	0 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Borussia Dortmund (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Borussia Dortmund

WLWWWWWWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Union Berlin Germany Bundesliga I	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
09/10	Werder Bremen Germany Bundesliga I	0-0	2-2	9	3	D
19/09	VfB Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga I	0-0	1-0	2	7	W
12/09	Paderborn Germany Bundesliga I	1-0	3-0	7	2	W
05/09	TSG Hoffenheim Germany Bundesliga I	0-1	3-2	3	6	W
29/08	Hamburg Germany Bundesliga I	2-0	2-0	3	4	W
16/05	Werder Bremen Germany Bundesliga I	0-0	2-0	5	0	W
08/05	Eintracht Frankfurt Germany Bundesliga I	2-1	3-2	6	3	W
03/05	Borussia M'gladbach Germany Bundesliga I	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
26/04	SC Freiburg Germany Bundesliga I	3-0	4-0	5	1	W

Eintracht Frankfurt

DLLDDLWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Cologne Germany Bundesliga I	0-0	1-0	7	4	W
10/10	RB Leipzig Germany Bundesliga I	0-4	0-6	6	4	L
19/09	SC Freiburg Germany Bundesliga I	2-1	2-2	3	4	D
12/09	Mainz Germany Bundesliga I	2-0	3-1	5	2	W
06/09	Augsburg Germany Bundesliga I	1-0	1-4	9	2	L
29/08	Union Berlin Germany Bundesliga I	2-1	3-3	2	6	D
16/05	VfB Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga I	0-2	2-2	6	5	D
08/05	Borussia Dortmund Germany Bundesliga I	1-2	2-3	2	3	L
02/05	Hamburg Germany Bundesliga I	0-0	1-2	9	7	L
25/04	Augsburg Germany Bundesliga I	0-1	1-1	7	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Borussia Dortmund win (63%). Probabilities: Borussia Dortmund 63%, draw 19%, Eintracht Frankfurt 18%.

How many goals are expected in Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

The model expects 3.84 goals (Borussia Dortmund 2.53 · Eintracht Frankfurt 1.31), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.