Football · Germany Bundesliga I · 01/11, 17:30
Prediction: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburg
Team pages: Eintracht Frankfurt · Hamburg
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.57Total
Eintracht Frankfurt2.25
Hamburg1.31
1X2
Eintracht Frankfurt
Draw
Hamburg
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
2-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Eintracht Frankfurt
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Hamburg
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Eintracht Frankfurt
3–2–1
Hamburg
(6 last)
- Hamburg1-3Eintracht Frankfurt
- Eintracht Frankfurt1-2Hamburg
- Hamburg1-1Eintracht Frankfurt
- Eintracht Frankfurt3-0Hamburg
- Hamburg1-2Eintracht Frankfurt
- Eintracht Frankfurt0-0Hamburg
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eintracht Frankfurt 1523 · Hamburg 1520
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Draw | Hamburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 22% | 21% |
| Market | 58% | 22% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.57 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Eintracht Frankfurt: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Eintracht Frankfurt | Hamburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 2.4 | 1.2 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1 | 0.3 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5 | 1.4 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Eintracht Frankfurt 3–2–1 Hamburg
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10/26 Germany DFB Pokal | Hamburg | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 02/05/26 Germany Bundesliga I | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Hamburg |
| 20/12/25 Germany Bundesliga I | Hamburg | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 05/05/18 Germany Bundesliga I | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Hamburg |
| 12/12/17 Germany Bundesliga I | Hamburg | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 18/03/17 Germany Bundesliga I | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Hamburg |
Standings · Germany Bundesliga I
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 6 | 17 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 4 | 17 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 13 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 13 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | 12 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 12 |
| 7 | Mainz | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 10 |
| 8 | Elversberg | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 10 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 13 | 9 |
| 10 | TSG Hoffenheim | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 9 |
| 11 | Hamburg | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 9 |
| 12 | Cologne | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 13 | Paderborn | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 8 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 17 | 8 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 6 |
| 16 | Schalke | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 6 |
| 17 | Union Berlin | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia M'gladbach | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 3 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Eintracht Frankfurt | Hamburg |
|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund | 0-1 L | 0-2 L |
| Cologne | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| RB Leipzig | 0-6 L | 0-5 L |
| SC Freiburg | 2-2 D | 3-2 W |
| Mainz | 3-1 W | 0-5 L |
| VfB Stuttgart | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Hamburg (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eintracht Frankfurt
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Borussia Dortmund Germany Bundesliga I |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 16/10 | Cologne Germany Bundesliga I |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 10/10 | RB Leipzig Germany Bundesliga I |
0-4 | 0-6 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 19/09 | SC Freiburg Germany Bundesliga I |
2-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Mainz Germany Bundesliga I |
2-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 06/09 | Augsburg Germany Bundesliga I |
1-0 | 1-4 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Union Berlin Germany Bundesliga I |
2-1 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 16/05 | VfB Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga I |
0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 08/05 | Borussia Dortmund Germany Bundesliga I |
1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Hamburg Germany Bundesliga I |
0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 7 | L |
Hamburg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Paderborn Germany Bundesliga I |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 17/10 | VfB Stuttgart Germany Bundesliga I |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 10/10 | TSG Hoffenheim Germany Bundesliga I |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 19/09 | Cologne Germany Bundesliga I |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 13/09 | RB Leipzig Germany Bundesliga I |
0-2 | 0-5 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 06/09 | Mainz Germany Bundesliga I |
0-2 | 0-5 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 29/08 | Borussia Dortmund Germany Bundesliga I |
0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Bayer Leverkusen Germany Bundesliga I |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 10/05 | SC Freiburg Germany Bundesliga I |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Eintracht Frankfurt Germany Bundesliga I |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburg?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Eintracht Frankfurt win (58%). Probabilities: Eintracht Frankfurt 58%, draw 22%, Hamburg 21%.
How many goals are expected in Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburg?
The model expects 3.57 goals (Eintracht Frankfurt 2.25 · Hamburg 1.31), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Eintracht Frankfurt vs Hamburg?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.