Prediction: Aberystwyth vs Llantwit Major
Team pages: Aberystwyth · Llantwit Major
- Aberystwyth2-2Llantwit Major
- Llantwit Major1-2Aberystwyth
| Aberystwyth | Draw | Llantwit Major | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 22% | 20% |
| Market | 58% | 22% | 20% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Aberystwyth | Llantwit Major | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2 | 1.4 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.7 | 1.8 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.2 | 5.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Aberystwyth 1–1–0 Llantwit Major
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 Wales Championship South | Aberystwyth | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Llantwit Major |
| 26/07/25 Wales Championship South | Llantwit Major | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Aberystwyth |
Standings · Wales Championship South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Pontypridd Utd | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Carmarthen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Newport City FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Treowen Stars | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Caerau Ely | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 4 |
| 7 | Ynyshir Albions | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Baglan Dragons | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Aberystwyth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Afan Lido | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 3 |
| 11 | Pontardawe Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| 12 | Trethomas Bluebirds AFC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 14 | Llanelli Town | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| 15 | Caerphilly Athletic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
| 16 | Llantwit Major | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Aberystwyth | Llantwit Major |
|---|---|---|
| Afan Lido | 5-2 W | 0-5 L |
| Cwmbran Celtic | 1-3 L | 3-1 W |
| Cambrian United | 0-2 L | 1-3 L |
| Caerau Ely | 0-4 L | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 3 L | 1 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Llantwit Major (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aberystwyth
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Treowen Stars Wales Championship South |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 01/08 | Afan Lido Wales Championship South |
1-1 | 5-2 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 18/04 | Ynyshir Albions Wales Championship South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 11/04 | Cwmbran Celtic Wales Championship South |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 04/04 | Llantwit Major Wales Championship South |
1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 28/03 | Afan Lido Wales Championship South |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 21/03 | Cambrian United Wales Championship South |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 14/03 | Trethomas Bluebirds AFC Wales Championship South |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 07/03 | Trefelin BGC Wales Championship South |
0-1 | 0-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 01/03 | Caerau Ely Wales Championship South |
0-1 | 0-4 | 8 | 2 | L |
Llantwit Major
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Baglan Dragons Wales Championship South |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 07/08 | Afan Lido Wales Championship South |
0-1 | 0-5 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 01/08 | Pure Swansea Wales Championship South |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Cambrian United Wales Championship South |
1-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 04/04 | Aberystwyth Wales Championship South |
2-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 28/03 | Caerau Ely Wales Championship South |
0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 20/03 | Afan Lido Wales Championship South |
1-0 | 1-4 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 14/03 | Ammanford AFC Wales Championship South |
0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 10/03 | Cwmbran Celtic Wales Championship South |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 06/03 | Pontypridd Utd Wales Championship South |
0-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aberystwyth vs Llantwit Major?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Aberystwyth win (58%). Probabilities: Aberystwyth 58%, draw 22%, Llantwit Major 20%.
How many goals are expected in Aberystwyth vs Llantwit Major?
The model expects 3.31 goals (Aberystwyth 2.12 · Llantwit Major 1.19), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Aberystwyth vs Llantwit Major?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.