Prediction: Cardiff Draconians vs Llanelli Town
Team pages: Cardiff Draconians · Llanelli Town
| Cardiff Draconians | Draw | Llanelli Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 23% | 32% |
| Market | 44% | 24% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Cardiff Draconians (rating 1451 vs 1409).
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Cardiff Draconians | Llanelli Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 2.1 | 0.5 / 3.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1 | 0.3 / 1.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 20/10/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.9 | 1.1 / 2.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.2 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Standings · Wales Championship South
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Pontypridd Utd | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Carmarthen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Newport City FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Treowen Stars | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Caerau Ely | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 4 |
| 7 | Ynyshir Albions | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Baglan Dragons | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Aberystwyth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Afan Lido | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 3 |
| 11 | Pontardawe Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| 12 | Trethomas Bluebirds AFC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 14 | Llanelli Town | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| 15 | Caerphilly Athletic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
| 16 | Llantwit Major | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Cardiff Draconians | Llanelli Town |
|---|---|---|
| Trethomas Bluebirds AFC | 4-4 D | 1-1 D |
| Newport City FC | 0-1 L | 1-4 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Cardiff Draconians (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Cardiff Draconians
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Pontypridd Utd Wales Championship South |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 07/08 | Caerphilly Athletic Wales Championship South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 01/08 | Ynyshir Albions Wales Championship South |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | Afan Lido Wales Championship South |
1-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Pontypridd Utd Wales Championship South |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 8 | D |
| 04/04 | Trethomas Bluebirds AFC Wales Championship South |
2-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 28/03 | Newport City FC Wales Championship South |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/03 | Ynyshir Albions Wales Championship South |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 21/03 | Trefelin BGC Wales Championship South |
0-2 | 0-4 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 14/03 | Carmarthen Wales Championship South |
2-3 | 2-3 | 8 | 3 | L |
Llanelli Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Pure Swansea Wales Championship South |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 07/08 | Trethomas Bluebirds AFC Wales Championship South |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 31/07 | Newport City FC Wales Championship South |
1-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Haverfordwest County UK Friendlies |
0-6 | 0-8 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Haverfordwest County Wales Premier League |
0-3 | 0-6 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 03/04 | Bala Town Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 28/03 | Flint Town Utd Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 20/03 | Cardiff MU Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 13/03 | Briton Ferry Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 27/02 | Bala Town Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Cardiff Draconians vs Llanelli Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Cardiff Draconians win (44%). Probabilities: Cardiff Draconians 44%, draw 24%, Llanelli Town 32%.
How many goals are expected in Cardiff Draconians vs Llanelli Town?
The model expects 3.6 goals (Cardiff Draconians 1.94 · Llanelli Town 1.65), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Cardiff Draconians vs Llanelli Town?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.