Prediction: Carmarthen vs Treowen Stars
Team pages: Carmarthen · Treowen Stars
- Treowen Stars4-1Carmarthen
- Carmarthen1-1Treowen Stars
| Carmarthen | Draw | Treowen Stars | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 22% | 29% |
| Market | 49% | 23% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Carmarthen | Treowen Stars | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.8 | 2.1 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 6 | 2.4 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.5 / 0.1 | 4.2 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Carmarthen 0–1–1 Treowen Stars
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Wales Championship South | Treowen Stars | 4-1 HT 0-0 | Carmarthen |
| 12/09/25 Wales Championship South | Carmarthen | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Treowen Stars |
Standings · Wales Championship South
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pure Swansea | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Pontypridd Utd | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | 9 |
| 3 | Carmarthen | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 9 |
| 4 | Newport City FC | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Treowen Stars | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Caerau Ely | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 4 |
| 7 | Ynyshir Albions | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Baglan Dragons | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 | Aberystwyth | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 3 |
| 10 | Afan Lido | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 3 |
| 11 | Pontardawe Town | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 |
| 12 | Trethomas Bluebirds AFC | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 |
| 13 | Cardiff Draconians | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| 14 | Llanelli Town | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 1 |
| 15 | Caerphilly Athletic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 1 |
| 16 | Llantwit Major | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Carmarthen | Treowen Stars |
|---|---|---|
| Afan Lido | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Newport City FC | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Trefelin BGC | 4-2 W | 0-6 L |
| Pontypridd Utd | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Baglan Dragons | 7-0 W | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Carmarthen (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carmarthen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Afan Lido Wales Championship South |
1-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 08/08 | Newport City FC Wales Championship South |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 01/08 | Caerau Ely Wales Championship South |
0-0 | 4-3 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 14/07 | Briton Ferry UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 07/07 | Cardiff MU UK Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 03/07 | Trefelin BGC UK Friendlies |
0-2 | 4-2 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 18/04 | Treowen Stars Wales Championship South |
0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 04/04 | Pontypridd Utd Wales Championship South |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 28/03 | Baglan Dragons Wales Championship South |
2-0 | 7-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 21/03 | Ynyshir Albions Wales Championship South |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | D |
Treowen Stars
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Caerphilly Athletic Wales Championship South |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Aberystwyth Wales Championship South |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Pontypridd Utd Wales Championship South |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 18/04 | Carmarthen Wales Championship South |
0-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 03/04 | Trefelin BGC Wales Championship South |
0-3 | 0-6 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 28/03 | Ammanford AFC Wales Championship South |
0-1 | 1-5 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 23/03 | Afan Lido Wales Championship South |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 20/03 | Newport City FC Wales Championship South |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 17/03 | Baglan Dragons Wales Championship South |
1-1 | 4-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 14/03 | Pontypridd Utd Wales Championship South |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carmarthen vs Treowen Stars?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Carmarthen win (49%). Probabilities: Carmarthen 49%, draw 23%, Treowen Stars 28%.
How many goals are expected in Carmarthen vs Treowen Stars?
The model expects 3.88 goals (Carmarthen 2.21 · Treowen Stars 1.67), with a 56% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Carmarthen vs Treowen Stars?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.