Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 28/08, 19:30

Prediction: Kremser SC vs SV Horn

Team pages: Kremser SC · SV Horn

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.73Total

Kremser SC1.37

SV Horn1.37

1X2

37% 26% 37%

Kremser SC Draw SV Horn

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Kremser SC 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLWLDLDL

SV Horn 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWLWLWDD

Head-to-head

Kremser SC 1–1–4 SV Horn (6 last)

SV Horn2-0Kremser SC
Kremser SC1-0SV Horn
Kremser SC1-3SV Horn
SV Horn1-0Kremser SC
Kremser SC1-5SV Horn
Kremser SC2-2SV Horn

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kremser SC 1441 · SV Horn 1476

	Kremser SC	Draw	SV Horn
Our model	36%	28%	36%
Market	38%	25%	38%

Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SV Horn: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kremser SC	SV Horn
Goals for / against (FT)	1.9 / 1.9	1.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/10/40%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4	2.6 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.3	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.40

X3.60

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.90

2 (0)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
17:15 +6’	2.40	3.60	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kremser SC 1–1–4 SV Horn

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Horn	2-0 HT 1-0	Kremser SC
24/10/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Kremser SC	1-0 HT 0-0	SV Horn
25/01/25 Club Friendly List	Kremser SC	1-3 HT 1-2	SV Horn
10/07/24 Europe Friendlies	SV Horn	1-0 HT 1-0	Kremser SC
30/01/24 Europe Friendlies	Kremser SC	1-5 HT 0-2	SV Horn
15/07/23 Europe Friendlies	Kremser SC	2-2 HT 1-2	SV Horn

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Wiener Sportclub	4	4	0	0	10	1	12
2	Oberwart	4	3	0	1	12	6	9
3	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	4	3	0	1	12	3	9
4	SR Fach-Donaufeld	4	3	0	1	5	5	9
5	Parndorf	4	2	2	0	10	3	8
6	FCM Traiskirchen	4	2	1	1	12	11	7
7	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	4	2	1	1	6	6	7
8	SV Gloggnitz	4	2	0	2	6	7	6
9	SV Horn	4	1	2	1	5	3	5
10	SV Leobendorf	4	1	2	1	6	6	5
11	SC Wiener Viktoria	4	1	0	3	4	7	3
12	Favoritner AC	4	1	0	3	1	4	3
13	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	4	1	0	3	3	6	3
14	Kremser SC	4	0	2	2	4	8	2
15	SV Donau	4	0	2	2	4	12	2
16	SV Wienerberg	4	0	0	4	5	17	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kremser SC	SV Horn
SV Donau	1-1 D	1-1 D
TWL Elektra	5-1 W	5-1 W
SR Fach-Donaufeld	2-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Kremser SC (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kremser SC

WLWLWLDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-3	0	8	L
14/08	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-1	3	9	D
07/08	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-3	–	–	L
31/07	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
05/06	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-3	2-5	2	2	L
29/05	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	5-1	7	7	W
22/05	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-2	1	3	L
15/05	TWL Elektra Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-1	5-1	5	1	W
09/05	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-2	7	8	L
01/05	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-0	6	5	W

SV Horn

WLLWLWLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-1	2	8	D
14/08	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
07/08	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	3-0	5	1	W
31/07	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-2	5	5	L
05/06	TWL Elektra Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	5-1	6	3	W
22/05	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-2	12	4	L
09/05	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-0	4	8	W
02/05	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-3	1-3	5	3	L
24/04	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-3	5	2	L
17/04	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-0	6	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kremser SC vs SV Horn?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kremser SC win (37%). Probabilities: Kremser SC 37%, draw 26%, SV Horn 37%.

How many goals are expected in Kremser SC vs SV Horn?

The model expects 2.73 goals (Kremser SC 1.37 · SV Horn 1.37), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Kremser SC vs SV Horn?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.