Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 29/08, 17:30

Prediction: SV Leobendorf vs Oberwart

Team pages: SV Leobendorf · Oberwart

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.67Total

SV Leobendorf1.68

Oberwart1.99

1X2

32% 23% 45%

SV Leobendorf Draw Oberwart

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Leobendorf 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LWLLLWDWDL

Oberwart 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWDWWLWW

Head-to-head

SV Leobendorf 3–3 Oberwart (6 last)

Oberwart4-0SV Leobendorf
SV Leobendorf2-1Oberwart
Oberwart1-2SV Leobendorf
SV Leobendorf0-1Oberwart
SV Leobendorf0-5Oberwart
Oberwart0-5SV Leobendorf

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Leobendorf 1449 · Oberwart 1572

	SV Leobendorf	Draw	Oberwart
Our model	32%	23%	45%
Market	33%	22%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 3.67 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oberwart (rating 1449 vs 1572).
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Leobendorf	Oberwart
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.3	3.1 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	1.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	70/10/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.9	2.8 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0	3.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.75

X4.00

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:47

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
17:40 +7’	2.75	4.00	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Leobendorf 3–0–3 Oberwart

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
10/04/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Oberwart	4-0 HT 3-0	SV Leobendorf
26/09/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Leobendorf	2-1 HT 0-1	Oberwart
25/04/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Oberwart	1-2 HT 0-2	SV Leobendorf
28/09/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Leobendorf	0-1 HT 0-0	Oberwart
25/05/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Leobendorf	0-5 HT 0-3	Oberwart
26/10/23 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Oberwart	0-5 HT 0-3	SV Leobendorf

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Wiener Sportclub	4	4	0	0	10	1	12
2	Oberwart	4	3	0	1	12	6	9
3	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	4	3	0	1	12	3	9
4	SR Fach-Donaufeld	4	3	0	1	5	5	9
5	Parndorf	4	2	2	0	10	3	8
6	FCM Traiskirchen	4	2	1	1	12	11	7
7	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	4	2	1	1	6	6	7
8	SV Gloggnitz	4	2	0	2	6	7	6
9	SV Horn	4	1	2	1	5	3	5
10	SV Leobendorf	4	1	2	1	6	6	5
11	SC Wiener Viktoria	4	1	0	3	4	7	3
12	Favoritner AC	4	1	0	3	1	4	3
13	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	4	1	0	3	3	6	3
14	Kremser SC	4	0	2	2	4	8	2
15	SV Donau	4	0	2	2	4	12	2
16	SV Wienerberg	4	0	0	4	5	17	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Leobendorf	Oberwart
FCM Traiskirchen	4-5 L	3-0 W
Wiener Sportclub	0-3 L	2-0 W
Favoritner AC	0-1 L	4-1 W
Sportunion Mauer	0-1 L	3-5 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 4 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Oberwart (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Leobendorf

LWLLLWDWDL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-3	4-5	1	10	L
14/08	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	9	2	D
07/08	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
31/07	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-1	3	7	D
03/06	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-1	5-1	12	4	W
29/05	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-3	1	3	L
22/05	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	1	1	L
15/05	Sportunion Mauer Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	2	4	L
09/05	SC Retz Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	7	4	W
30/04	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-1	6	2	L

Oberwart

LWWWDWWLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-1	5-2	4	4	W
14/08	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	4-1	3	4	W
07/08	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-2	12	5	L
01/08	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-1	11	6	W
05/06	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-1	5-2	7	2	W
30/05	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	2-2	2	4	D
22/05	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	3-0	0	4	W
15/05	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	2-0	2	5	W
08/05	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	4-1	5	1	W
01/05	Sportunion Mauer Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-3	3-5	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Leobendorf vs Oberwart?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Oberwart win (45%). Probabilities: SV Leobendorf 32%, draw 23%, Oberwart 45%.

How many goals are expected in SV Leobendorf vs Oberwart?

The model expects 3.67 goals (SV Leobendorf 1.68 · Oberwart 1.99), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Leobendorf vs Oberwart?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.