Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 04/09, 19:00

Prediction: SV Gloggnitz vs FC Marchfeld Donauauen

Team pages: SV Gloggnitz · FC Marchfeld Donauauen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.36Total

SV Gloggnitz1.38

FC Marchfeld Donauauen1.98

1X2

26% 23% 51%

SV Gloggnitz Draw FC Marchfeld Donauauen

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Gloggnitz 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDWLLWWLLD

FC Marchfeld Donauauen 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

LWWLWWLWWW

Head-to-head

SV Gloggnitz 2–1–1 FC Marchfeld Donauauen (4 last)

SV Gloggnitz4-2FC Marchfeld Donauauen
FC Marchfeld Donauauen1-1SV Gloggnitz
SV Gloggnitz2-1FC Marchfeld Donauauen
FC Marchfeld Donauauen3-1SV Gloggnitz

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Gloggnitz 1483 · FC Marchfeld Donauauen 1563

	SV Gloggnitz	Draw	FC Marchfeld Donauauen
Our model	26%	24%	51%
Market	26%	22%	51%

Estimated total (ours) 3.36 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Marchfeld Donauauen (rating 1483 vs 1563).
H2H favours SV Gloggnitz: 2-1-1.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Gloggnitz	FC Marchfeld Donauauen
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.9	2.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	1.3 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 5.6	2.3 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	3.9 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.40

X4.00

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)2.00

2 (-0.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.252.00

Under 3.251.80

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 18:29

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.75 → 1.75	Bet365 1.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
18:10 +19’	3.40	4.00	1.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Gloggnitz 2–1–1 FC Marchfeld Donauauen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Gloggnitz	4-2 HT 1-0	FC Marchfeld Donauauen
19/09/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	1-1 HT 0-0	SV Gloggnitz
30/05/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Gloggnitz	2-1 HT 1-1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen
01/11/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	3-1 HT 1-1	SV Gloggnitz

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	5	4	0	1	16	4	12
2	Wiener Sportclub	5	4	0	1	11	3	12
3	Oberwart	5	4	0	1	13	6	12
4	Parndorf	6	3	2	1	12	7	11
5	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	5	3	1	1	8	7	10
6	SR Fach-Donaufeld	5	3	0	2	5	7	9
7	SV Horn	6	2	2	2	6	4	8
8	FCM Traiskirchen	5	2	2	1	13	12	8
9	SV Gloggnitz	5	2	1	2	7	8	7
10	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	5	2	0	3	5	6	6
11	Favoritner AC	5	2	0	3	3	4	6
12	SV Leobendorf	5	1	2	2	6	7	5
13	SC Wiener Viktoria	5	1	1	3	5	8	4
14	SV Donau	5	0	3	2	5	13	3
15	Kremser SC	5	0	2	3	4	9	2
16	SV Wienerberg	5	0	0	5	5	19	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Gloggnitz	FC Marchfeld Donauauen
SC Wiener Viktoria	1-1 D	3-0 W
Parndorf	0-2 L	4-1 W
Kremser SC	3-1 W	3-1 W
SV Leobendorf	1-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Marchfeld Donauauen (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Gloggnitz

WDWLLWWLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
22/08	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	0-2	5	4	L
14/08	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-4	4	3	L
07/08	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	3-1	–	–	W
01/08	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-0	4	7	W
06/06	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-5	1-6	8	5	L
29/05	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-4	4	2	L
22/05	Sportunion Mauer Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
16/05	SC Retz Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	10	2	D
30/04	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-0	4	2	W

FC Marchfeld Donauauen

LWWLWWLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-1	4-1	4	2	W
21/08	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	3-1	4	8	W
15/08	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-1	4-1	7	6	W
07/08	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
01/08	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	4-0	5-0	2	3	W
03/06	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
29/05	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-2	10	4	L
22/05	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
16/05	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	3-0	6	3	W
08/05	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	1-3	3	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Gloggnitz vs FC Marchfeld Donauauen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Marchfeld Donauauen win (51%). Probabilities: SV Gloggnitz 26%, draw 23%, FC Marchfeld Donauauen 51%.

How many goals are expected in SV Gloggnitz vs FC Marchfeld Donauauen?

The model expects 3.36 goals (SV Gloggnitz 1.38 · FC Marchfeld Donauauen 1.98), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Gloggnitz vs FC Marchfeld Donauauen?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.