Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 01/09, 19:00

Prediction: SV Horn vs Parndorf

Team pages: SV Horn · Parndorf

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.09Total

SV Horn1.46

Parndorf1.63

1X2

33% 26% 41%

SV Horn Draw Parndorf

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Horn 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLWLWLWDDW

Parndorf 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

LWWWWDWDWL

Head-to-head

SV Horn 4–1–0 Parndorf (5 last)

SV Horn1-1Parndorf
SV Horn2-0Parndorf
Parndorf2-5SV Horn
Parndorf0-3SV Horn
SV Horn4-2Parndorf

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Horn 1490 · Parndorf 1587

	SV Horn	Draw	Parndorf
Our model	33%	26%	41%
Market	33%	26%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.09 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Parndorf (rating 1490 vs 1587).
H2H favours SV Horn: 4-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Horn	Parndorf
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.2	2.9 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.6	1.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.7	1.8 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.3	4.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.40

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 15:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.70▲	Bet365 2.70
X	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
2	2.60 → 2.20▼	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
11:59 +6’	2.30	3.40	2.60
15:16 +3’	2.70▲	3.40	2.20▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Horn 4–1–0 Parndorf

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Date	Home	Score	Away
31/10/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Horn	1-1 HT 0-0	Parndorf
20/04/18 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Horn	2-0 HT 1-0	Parndorf
06/10/17 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Parndorf	2-5 HT 0-3	SV Horn
27/05/16 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Parndorf	0-3 HT 0-1	SV Horn
30/10/15 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Horn	4-2 HT 2-1	Parndorf

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	5	4	0	1	16	4	12
2	Wiener Sportclub	5	4	0	1	11	3	12
3	Oberwart	5	4	0	1	13	6	12
4	Parndorf	6	3	2	1	12	7	11
5	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	5	3	1	1	8	7	10
6	SR Fach-Donaufeld	5	3	0	2	5	7	9
7	SV Horn	6	2	2	2	6	4	8
8	FCM Traiskirchen	5	2	2	1	13	12	8
9	SV Gloggnitz	5	2	1	2	7	8	7
10	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	5	2	0	3	5	6	6
11	Favoritner AC	5	2	0	3	3	4	6
12	SV Leobendorf	5	1	2	2	6	7	5
13	SC Wiener Viktoria	5	1	1	3	5	8	4
14	SV Donau	5	0	3	2	5	13	3
15	Kremser SC	5	0	2	3	4	9	2
16	SV Wienerberg	5	0	0	5	5	19	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Horn	Parndorf
Kremser SC	1-0 W	1-1 D
SV Donau	1-1 D	6-1 W
SV Leobendorf	0-0 D	1-1 D
SR Fach-Donaufeld	1-2 L	4-1 W
TWL Elektra	5-1 W	5-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Parndorf (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Horn

LLWLWLWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	2	7	W
21/08	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-1	2	8	D
14/08	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
07/08	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	3-0	5	1	W
31/07	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-2	5	5	L
05/06	TWL Elektra Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	5-1	6	3	W
22/05	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-2	12	4	L
09/05	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-0	4	8	W
02/05	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-3	1-3	5	3	L
24/04	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-3	5	2	L

Parndorf

LWWWWDWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-2	1-4	4	2	L
22/08	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	2-0	2	4	W
14/08	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-1	3	9	D
07/08	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-1	6-1	4	4	W
31/07	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-1	3	7	D
03/06	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-2	5-2	3	5	W
29/05	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	2-1	0	4	W
22/05	TWL Elektra Austria Regionalliga Ost	4-0	5-0	8	6	W
09/05	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	4-1	6	5	W
05/05	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-2	2-4	1	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Horn vs Parndorf?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Parndorf win (41%). Probabilities: SV Horn 33%, draw 26%, Parndorf 41%.

How many goals are expected in SV Horn vs Parndorf?

The model expects 3.09 goals (SV Horn 1.46 · Parndorf 1.63), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Horn vs Parndorf?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.