Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 04/09, 19:30

Prediction: Wiener Sportclub vs SR Fach-Donaufeld

Team pages: Wiener Sportclub · SR Fach-Donaufeld

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.59Total

Wiener Sportclub2.21

SR Fach-Donaufeld1.38

1X2

55% 22% 22%

Wiener Sportclub Draw SR Fach-Donaufeld

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Wiener Sportclub 8-0-2 (W-D-L)

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SR Fach-Donaufeld 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LLWWLWWLWL

Head-to-head

Wiener Sportclub 0–1–5 SR Fach-Donaufeld (6 last)

Wiener Sportclub0-2SR Fach-Donaufeld
SR Fach-Donaufeld4-2Wiener Sportclub
SR Fach-Donaufeld2-0Wiener Sportclub
SR Fach-Donaufeld5-3Wiener Sportclub
Wiener Sportclub2-2SR Fach-Donaufeld
Wiener Sportclub1-2SR Fach-Donaufeld

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wiener Sportclub 1524 · SR Fach-Donaufeld 1496

	Wiener Sportclub	Draw	SR Fach-Donaufeld
Our model	56%	22%	23%
Market	55%	22%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.59 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SR Fach-Donaufeld: 5-1-0.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wiener Sportclub	SR Fach-Donaufeld
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 0.8	1.2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.7 / 0.7	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 4.8	3.4 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.61

X4.00

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.00

2 (+1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
16:17 +5’	1.61	4.00	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wiener Sportclub 0–1–5 SR Fach-Donaufeld

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/04/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Wiener Sportclub	0-2 HT 0-1	SR Fach-Donaufeld
27/09/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SR Fach-Donaufeld	4-2 HT 1-0	Wiener Sportclub
23/05/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SR Fach-Donaufeld	2-0 HT 1-0	Wiener Sportclub
24/01/25 Europe Friendlies	SR Fach-Donaufeld	5-3 HT 1-0	Wiener Sportclub
26/10/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Wiener Sportclub	2-2 HT 1-1	SR Fach-Donaufeld
08/03/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Wiener Sportclub	1-2 HT 0-0	SR Fach-Donaufeld

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	5	4	0	1	16	4	12
2	Wiener Sportclub	5	4	0	1	11	3	12
3	Oberwart	5	4	0	1	13	6	12
4	Parndorf	6	3	2	1	12	7	11
5	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	5	3	1	1	8	7	10
6	SR Fach-Donaufeld	5	3	0	2	5	7	9
7	SV Horn	6	2	2	2	6	4	8
8	FCM Traiskirchen	5	2	2	1	13	12	8
9	SV Gloggnitz	5	2	1	2	7	8	7
10	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	5	2	0	3	5	6	6
11	Favoritner AC	5	2	0	3	3	4	6
12	SV Leobendorf	5	1	2	2	6	7	5
13	SC Wiener Viktoria	5	1	1	3	5	8	4
14	SV Donau	5	0	3	2	5	13	3
15	Kremser SC	5	0	2	3	4	9	2
16	SV Wienerberg	5	0	0	5	5	19	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wiener Sportclub	SR Fach-Donaufeld
Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	1-0 W	0-2 L
Favoritner AC	2-0 W	1-0 W
Oberwart	0-2 L	1-4 L
Parndorf	4-2 W	1-4 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 1 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Wiener Sportclub (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wiener Sportclub

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
21/08	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-0	3-0	4	3	W
14/08	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	4-1	5	3	W
08/08	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
31/07	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
06/06	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	5-1	6-1	3	5	W
29/05	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	3-0	2	3	W
22/05	Neusiedl Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-0	4-0	9	1	W
15/05	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	0-2	8	5	L
05/05	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-1	4-2	3	2	W

SR Fach-Donaufeld

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
21/08	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
14/08	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-4	4	4	L
07/08	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	10	9	W
31/07	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	2-1	7	5	W
03/06	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-2	13	2	L
29/05	TWL Elektra Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-2	4-2	8	1	W
22/05	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
09/05	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	1-4	4	5	L
01/05	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-2	7	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wiener Sportclub vs SR Fach-Donaufeld?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wiener Sportclub win (55%). Probabilities: Wiener Sportclub 55%, draw 22%, SR Fach-Donaufeld 22%.

How many goals are expected in Wiener Sportclub vs SR Fach-Donaufeld?

The model expects 3.59 goals (Wiener Sportclub 2.21 · SR Fach-Donaufeld 1.38), with a 57% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Wiener Sportclub vs SR Fach-Donaufeld?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.