Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 04/09, 19:10

Prediction: Favoritner AC vs SV Leobendorf

Team pages: Favoritner AC · SV Leobendorf

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.67Total

Favoritner AC1.39

SV Leobendorf1.27

1X2

40% 26% 34%

Favoritner AC Draw SV Leobendorf

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Favoritner AC 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

LWWWLLWLLW

SV Leobendorf 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLWDWDLL

Head-to-head

Favoritner AC 1–3–2 SV Leobendorf (6 last)

SV Leobendorf0-1Favoritner AC
Favoritner AC1-2SV Leobendorf
Favoritner AC0-0SV Leobendorf
SV Leobendorf1-1Favoritner AC
Favoritner AC1-1SV Leobendorf
SV Leobendorf4-1Favoritner AC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Favoritner AC 1520 · SV Leobendorf 1464

	Favoritner AC	Draw	SV Leobendorf
Our model	39%	28%	33%
Market	41%	24%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.67 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Favoritner AC (rating 1520 vs 1464).
H2H favours SV Leobendorf: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Favoritner AC	SV Leobendorf
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1	1.2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 4.5	1.9 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0	4.6 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.75

22.55

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.80

2 (0)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:19 +2’	2.20	3.75	2.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Favoritner AC 1–3–2 SV Leobendorf

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/05/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Leobendorf	0-1 HT 0-1	Favoritner AC
07/11/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Favoritner AC	1-2 HT 0-1	SV Leobendorf
09/05/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Favoritner AC	0-0 HT 0-0	SV Leobendorf
12/10/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Leobendorf	1-1 HT 0-0	Favoritner AC
17/05/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Favoritner AC	1-1 HT 0-0	SV Leobendorf
21/10/23 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Leobendorf	4-1 HT 0-0	Favoritner AC

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	5	4	0	1	16	4	12
2	Wiener Sportclub	5	4	0	1	11	3	12
3	Oberwart	5	4	0	1	13	6	12
4	Parndorf	6	3	2	1	12	7	11
5	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	5	3	1	1	8	7	10
6	SR Fach-Donaufeld	5	3	0	2	5	7	9
7	SV Horn	6	2	2	2	6	4	8
8	FCM Traiskirchen	5	2	2	1	13	12	8
9	SV Gloggnitz	5	2	1	2	7	8	7
10	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	5	2	0	3	5	6	6
11	Favoritner AC	5	2	0	3	3	4	6
12	SV Leobendorf	5	1	2	2	6	7	5
13	SC Wiener Viktoria	5	1	1	3	5	8	4
14	SV Donau	5	0	3	2	5	13	3
15	Kremser SC	5	0	2	3	4	9	2
16	SV Wienerberg	5	0	0	5	5	19	0

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Favoritner AC	SV Leobendorf
Wiener Sportclub	0-2 L	0-3 L
SC Retz	1-2 L	1-0 W
Oberwart	1-4 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 3 L	1 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: SV Leobendorf (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Favoritner AC

LWWWLLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	2-0	6	2	W
21/08	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
14/08	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
07/08	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-0	1	2	W
31/07	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-2	0	4	L
06/06	SC Retz Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-2	2	4	L
29/05	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	4-0	7	2	W
22/05	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	8	1	W
15/05	Neusiedl Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	3-0	7	2	W
08/05	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	1-4	7	1	L

SV Leobendorf

WLLLWDWDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/08	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
21/08	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-3	4-5	1	10	L
14/08	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	9	2	D
07/08	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
31/07	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-1	3	7	D
03/06	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-1	5-1	12	4	W
29/05	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-3	1	3	L
22/05	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	1	1	L
15/05	Sportunion Mauer Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	2	4	L
09/05	SC Retz Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	7	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Favoritner AC vs SV Leobendorf?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Favoritner AC win (40%). Probabilities: Favoritner AC 40%, draw 26%, SV Leobendorf 34%.

How many goals are expected in Favoritner AC vs SV Leobendorf?

The model expects 2.67 goals (Favoritner AC 1.39 · SV Leobendorf 1.27), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Favoritner AC vs SV Leobendorf?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.