Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 28/08, 19:30

Prediction: SV Donau vs FCM Traiskirchen

Team pages: SV Donau · FCM Traiskirchen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.24Total

SV Donau1.6

FCM Traiskirchen2.64

1X2

21% 20% 59%

SV Donau Draw FCM Traiskirchen

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

1-2 8%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Donau 0-2-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLDLLD

FCM Traiskirchen 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLLLDLWW

Head-to-head

SV Donau 1–1–3 FCM Traiskirchen (5 last)

SV Donau2-3FCM Traiskirchen
FCM Traiskirchen4-2SV Donau
FCM Traiskirchen4-0SV Donau
SV Donau2-1FCM Traiskirchen
FCM Traiskirchen2-2SV Donau

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Donau 1395 · FCM Traiskirchen 1535

	SV Donau	Draw	FCM Traiskirchen
Our model	22%	19%	59%
Market	21%	21%	59%

Estimated total (ours) 4.24 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 80%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FCM Traiskirchen (rating 1395 vs 1535).
H2H favours FCM Traiskirchen: 3-1-1.
High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Donau	FCM Traiskirchen
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 3.6	2.4 / 2.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 1.5	1.2 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/20/60%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 4.6	3.6 / 7.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.1	5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

14.33

X4.33

21.53

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)2.00

2 (-1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.752.00

Under 3.751.80

Diff.: 1.15 · xG: 4.9

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 17:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.50 → 4.33▼	Bet365 4.33
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	1.50 → 1.53▲	Bet365 1.53

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:49 +27’	4.50	4.33	1.50
17:11 +9’	4.33▼	4.33	1.53▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Donau 1–1–3 FCM Traiskirchen

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
15/05/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Donau	2-3 HT 1-0	FCM Traiskirchen
31/10/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	FCM Traiskirchen	4-2 HT 3-1	SV Donau
18/02/22 Europe Friendlies	FCM Traiskirchen	4-0 HT 1-0	SV Donau
28/05/21 Europe Friendlies	SV Donau	2-1 HT 0-1	FCM Traiskirchen
02/02/19 Europe Friendlies	FCM Traiskirchen	2-2 HT 0-1	SV Donau

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Wiener Sportclub	4	4	0	0	10	1	12
2	Oberwart	4	3	0	1	12	6	9
3	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	4	3	0	1	12	3	9
4	SR Fach-Donaufeld	4	3	0	1	5	5	9
5	Parndorf	4	2	2	0	10	3	8
6	FCM Traiskirchen	4	2	1	1	12	11	7
7	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	4	2	1	1	6	6	7
8	SV Gloggnitz	4	2	0	2	6	7	6
9	SV Horn	4	1	2	1	5	3	5
10	SV Leobendorf	4	1	2	1	6	6	5
11	SC Wiener Viktoria	4	1	0	3	4	7	3
12	Favoritner AC	4	1	0	3	1	4	3
13	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	4	1	0	3	3	6	3
14	Kremser SC	4	0	2	2	4	8	2
15	SV Donau	4	0	2	2	4	12	2
16	SV Wienerberg	4	0	0	4	5	17	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Donau

LLLLLLDLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-1	5	8	D
15/08	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-2	1-4	3	6	L
07/08	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-3	1-6	2	4	L
31/07	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
03/06	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-2	2-5	3	5	L
29/05	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	1-5	2	7	L
22/05	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-2	4	2	L
15/05	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-3	9	10	L
01/05	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-3	1-5	6	2	L
24/04	Sportunion Mauer Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	2-4	10	1	L

FCM Traiskirchen

WWWLLLDLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-2	5-4	3	10	W
15/08	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-2	4-3	13	2	W
07/08	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	4	9	L
31/07	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	3-3	15	4	D
03/06	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-3	1-5	10	4	L
28/05	Neusiedl Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	2-4	12	3	L
22/05	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	0-3	7	4	L
15/05	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	3-2	2	10	W
08/05	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	3-1	0	5	W
30/04	TWL Elektra Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-0	3-0	9	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Donau vs FCM Traiskirchen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FCM Traiskirchen win (59%). Probabilities: SV Donau 21%, draw 20%, FCM Traiskirchen 59%.

How many goals are expected in SV Donau vs FCM Traiskirchen?

The model expects 4.24 goals (SV Donau 1.6 · FCM Traiskirchen 2.64), with a 51% chance of over 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Donau vs FCM Traiskirchen?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.