Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 11/09, 19:00

Prediction: Parndorf vs FCM Traiskirchen

Team pages: Parndorf · FCM Traiskirchen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.83Total

Parndorf2.05

FCM Traiskirchen1.78

1X2

44% 23% 33%

Parndorf Draw FCM Traiskirchen

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Parndorf 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWDWDWLW

FCM Traiskirchen 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WWLLLDLWWD

Head-to-head

Parndorf 2–1–3 FCM Traiskirchen (6 last)

Parndorf2-0FCM Traiskirchen
FCM Traiskirchen4-0Parndorf
Parndorf2-2FCM Traiskirchen
FCM Traiskirchen2-0Parndorf
Parndorf2-0FCM Traiskirchen
FCM Traiskirchen2-0Parndorf

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Parndorf 1603 · FCM Traiskirchen 1488

	Parndorf	Draw	FCM Traiskirchen
Our model	44%	23%	33%
Market	44%	23%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.83 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 77%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Parndorf (rating 1603 vs 1488).
H2H favours FCM Traiskirchen: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Parndorf	FCM Traiskirchen
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 1.1	2.2 / 2.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 0.7	0.9 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 3.7	3 / 6.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.1	5.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.90

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 1.15 · xG: 4.4

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 18:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.85 → 2.05▲	Bet365 2.05
X	4.00 → 3.90▼	Bet365 3.90
2	3.10 → 2.70▼	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
15:28 +17’	1.85	4.00	3.10
18:37 +2’	2.05▲	3.90▼	2.70▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Parndorf 2–1–3 FCM Traiskirchen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
10/04/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Parndorf	2-0 HT 0-0	FCM Traiskirchen
26/09/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	FCM Traiskirchen	4-0 HT 2-0	Parndorf
29/03/19 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Parndorf	2-2 HT 1-0	FCM Traiskirchen
31/08/18 Austria Regionalliga Ost	FCM Traiskirchen	2-0 HT 0-0	Parndorf
30/03/18 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Parndorf	2-0 HT 0-0	FCM Traiskirchen
08/09/17 Austria Regionalliga Ost	FCM Traiskirchen	2-0 HT 1-0	Parndorf

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	6	5	0	1	19	6	15
2	Wiener Sportclub	6	4	1	1	11	3	13
3	Oberwart	6	4	0	2	13	8	12
4	Parndorf	6	3	2	1	12	7	11
5	SR Fach-Donaufeld	6	3	1	2	5	7	10
6	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	6	3	1	2	9	12	10
7	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	6	3	0	3	8	6	9
8	Favoritner AC	6	3	0	3	6	4	9
9	SV Horn	6	2	2	2	6	4	8
10	FCM Traiskirchen	5	2	2	1	13	12	8
11	SV Gloggnitz	6	2	1	3	9	11	7
12	SC Wiener Viktoria	6	2	1	3	10	9	7
13	SV Donau	6	1	3	2	7	13	6
14	SV Leobendorf	6	1	2	3	6	10	5
15	Kremser SC	5	0	2	3	4	9	2
16	SV Wienerberg	6	0	0	6	5	22	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Parndorf	FCM Traiskirchen
FC Marchfeld Donauauen	1-4 L	3-1 W
SV Donau	6-1 W	1-1 D
SV Leobendorf	1-1 D	5-4 W
SR Fach-Donaufeld	4-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Parndorf

WWWWDWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/09	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
28/08	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-2	1-4	4	2	L
22/08	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	2-0	2	4	W
14/08	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-1	3	9	D
07/08	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-1	6-1	4	4	W
31/07	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-1	3	7	D
03/06	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-2	5-2	3	5	W
29/05	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	2-1	0	4	W
22/05	TWL Elektra Austria Regionalliga Ost	4-0	5-0	8	6	W
09/05	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	4-1	6	5	W

FCM Traiskirchen

WWLLLDLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-1	1	8	D
21/08	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-2	5-4	3	10	W
15/08	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-2	4-3	13	2	W
07/08	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	4	9	L
31/07	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	3-3	15	4	D
03/06	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-3	1-5	10	4	L
28/05	Neusiedl Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	2-4	12	3	L
22/05	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	0-3	7	4	L
15/05	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	3-2	2	10	W
08/05	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	3-1	0	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Parndorf vs FCM Traiskirchen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Parndorf win (44%). Probabilities: Parndorf 44%, draw 23%, FCM Traiskirchen 33%.

How many goals are expected in Parndorf vs FCM Traiskirchen?

The model expects 3.83 goals (Parndorf 2.05 · FCM Traiskirchen 1.78), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Parndorf vs FCM Traiskirchen?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.