Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 11/09, 19:00

Prediction: SV Donau vs Favoritner AC

Team pages: SV Donau · Favoritner AC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.26Total

SV Donau1.56

Favoritner AC1.69

1X2

35% 25% 41%

SV Donau Draw Favoritner AC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Donau 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLDLLDDW

Favoritner AC 6-0-4 (W-D-L)

WWWLLWLLWW

Head-to-head

SV Donau 3–3 Favoritner AC (6 last)

Favoritner AC5-1SV Donau
SV Donau1-0Favoritner AC
SV Donau0-2Favoritner AC
Favoritner AC2-1SV Donau
Favoritner AC0-3SV Donau
SV Donau2-1Favoritner AC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Donau 1433 · Favoritner AC 1543

	SV Donau	Draw	Favoritner AC
Our model	35%	25%	40%
Market	35%	24%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.26 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Favoritner AC (rating 1433 vs 1543).
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Donau	Favoritner AC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 2.8	1.5 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	0.4 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3.9	2.4 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.9 / 0.2	2.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.75

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:19 +16’	2.55	3.75	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Donau 3–0–3 Favoritner AC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Favoritner AC	5-1 HT 3-1	SV Donau
17/10/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Donau	1-0 HT 0-0	Favoritner AC
01/05/23 Austria Landesliga	SV Donau	0-2 HT 0-2	Favoritner AC
24/09/22 Austria Landesliga	Favoritner AC	2-1 HT 0-1	SV Donau
09/04/22 Austria Landesliga	Favoritner AC	0-3 HT 0-1	SV Donau
13/10/21 Austria Landesliga	SV Donau	2-1 HT 2-0	Favoritner AC

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	6	5	0	1	19	6	15
2	Wiener Sportclub	6	4	1	1	11	3	13
3	Oberwart	6	4	0	2	13	8	12
4	Parndorf	6	3	2	1	12	7	11
5	SR Fach-Donaufeld	6	3	1	2	5	7	10
6	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	6	3	1	2	9	12	10
7	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	6	3	0	3	8	6	9
8	Favoritner AC	6	3	0	3	6	4	9
9	SV Horn	6	2	2	2	6	4	8
10	FCM Traiskirchen	5	2	2	1	13	12	8
11	SV Gloggnitz	6	2	1	3	9	11	7
12	SC Wiener Viktoria	6	2	1	3	10	9	7
13	SV Donau	6	1	3	2	7	13	6
14	SV Leobendorf	6	1	2	3	6	10	5
15	Kremser SC	5	0	2	3	4	9	2
16	SV Wienerberg	6	0	0	6	5	22	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Donau

LLLLDLLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	2-0	3	6	W
28/08	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-1	6	8	D
21/08	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-1	5	8	D
15/08	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-2	1-4	3	6	L
07/08	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-3	1-6	2	4	L
31/07	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
03/06	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-2	2-5	3	5	L
29/05	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	1-5	2	7	L
22/05	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-2	4	2	L
15/05	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-3	9	10	L

Favoritner AC

WWWLLWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	3-0	3	4	W
29/08	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	2-0	6	2	W
21/08	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
14/08	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
07/08	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-0	1	2	W
31/07	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-2	0	4	L
06/06	SC Retz Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-2	2	4	L
29/05	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	4-0	7	2	W
22/05	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	8	1	W
15/05	Neusiedl Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	3-0	7	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Donau vs Favoritner AC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Favoritner AC win (41%). Probabilities: SV Donau 35%, draw 25%, Favoritner AC 41%.

How many goals are expected in SV Donau vs Favoritner AC?

The model expects 3.26 goals (SV Donau 1.56 · Favoritner AC 1.69), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Donau vs Favoritner AC?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.