Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 18/09, 19:30

Prediction: Oberwart vs Parndorf

Team pages: Oberwart · Parndorf

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.53Total

Oberwart1.88

Parndorf1.65

1X2

43% 24% 33%

Oberwart Draw Parndorf

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Oberwart 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WDWWLWWWLL

Parndorf 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWDWDWLWL

Head-to-head

Oberwart 1–2–3 Parndorf (6 last)

Parndorf0-0Oberwart
Oberwart1-1Parndorf
Parndorf4-0Oberwart
Parndorf1-2Oberwart
Parndorf3-2Oberwart
Oberwart1-3Parndorf

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oberwart 1530 · Parndorf 1560

	Oberwart	Draw	Parndorf
Our model	43%	24%	33%
Market	43%	24%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 3.53 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Parndorf: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Oberwart	Parndorf
Goals for / against (FT)	2.4 / 1.5	2.5 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.1 / 0.7	1.5 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 5.5	2 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.1	4.7 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.75

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.88

2 (+0.25)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.95

Under 3.251.85

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 3.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
04:38 +5’	2.10	3.75	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Oberwart 1–2–3 Parndorf

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Date	Home	Score	Away
14/04/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Parndorf	0-0 HT 0-0	Oberwart
01/08/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Oberwart	1-1 HT 1-1	Parndorf
12/08/22 Austria Landesliga	Parndorf	4-0 HT 1-0	Oberwart
08/10/21 Austria Landesliga	Parndorf	1-2 HT 1-1	Oberwart
15/04/16 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Parndorf	3-2 HT 0-1	Oberwart
18/09/15 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Oberwart	1-3 HT 1-2	Parndorf

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	7	6	0	1	22	7	18
2	Wiener Sportclub	7	5	1	1	17	3	16
3	Oberwart	7	4	0	3	14	11	12
4	FCM Traiskirchen	6	3	2	1	16	13	11
5	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	7	3	2	2	10	13	11
6	Parndorf	7	3	2	2	13	10	11
7	SC Wiener Viktoria	7	3	1	3	11	9	10
8	SR Fach-Donaufeld	7	3	1	3	5	8	10
9	SV Donau	7	2	3	2	11	13	9
10	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	7	3	0	4	9	8	9
11	Favoritner AC	7	3	0	4	6	8	9
12	SV Horn	7	2	2	3	7	7	8
13	SV Leobendorf	7	2	2	3	8	11	8
14	SV Gloggnitz	7	2	2	3	10	12	8
15	Kremser SC	6	1	2	3	7	10	5
16	SV Wienerberg	7	0	0	7	5	28	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Oberwart	Parndorf
Kremser SC	1-3 L	1-1 D
SV Donau	0-2 L	6-1 W
SV Leobendorf	1-0 W	1-1 D
FCM Traiskirchen	3-0 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oberwart

WDWWLWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-3	1-3	4	5	L
04/09	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-2	3	6	L
29/08	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	9	6	W
21/08	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-1	5-2	4	4	W
14/08	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	4-1	3	4	W
07/08	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-2	12	5	L
01/08	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-1	11	6	W
05/06	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-1	5-2	7	2	W
30/05	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	2-2	2	4	D
22/05	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	3-0	0	4	W

Parndorf

WWWDWDWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/09	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-3	1-3	7	6	L
01/09	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
28/08	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-2	1-4	4	2	L
22/08	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	2-0	2	4	W
14/08	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-1	3	9	D
07/08	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-1	6-1	4	4	W
31/07	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-1	3	7	D
03/06	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-2	5-2	3	5	W
29/05	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	2-1	0	4	W
22/05	TWL Elektra Austria Regionalliga Ost	4-0	5-0	8	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oberwart vs Parndorf?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Oberwart win (43%). Probabilities: Oberwart 43%, draw 24%, Parndorf 33%.

How many goals are expected in Oberwart vs Parndorf?

The model expects 3.53 goals (Oberwart 1.88 · Parndorf 1.65), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Oberwart vs Parndorf?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.