Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 26/09, 16:00

Prediction: SR Fach-Donaufeld vs SV Gloggnitz

Team pages: SR Fach-Donaufeld · SV Gloggnitz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.33Total

SR Fach-Donaufeld1.75

SV Gloggnitz1.58

1X2

41% 24% 34%

SR Fach-Donaufeld Draw SV Gloggnitz

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

SR Fach-Donaufeld 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLWWLWLDLD

SV Gloggnitz 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

LLWWLLDLDL

Head-to-head

SR Fach-Donaufeld 1–1–2 SV Gloggnitz (4 last)

SR Fach-Donaufeld1-4SV Gloggnitz
SV Gloggnitz1-1SR Fach-Donaufeld
SV Gloggnitz0-4SR Fach-Donaufeld
SR Fach-Donaufeld2-3SV Gloggnitz

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SR Fach-Donaufeld 1477 · SV Gloggnitz 1445

	SR Fach-Donaufeld	Draw	SV Gloggnitz
Our model	41%	25%	34%
Market	42%	24%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.33 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SV Gloggnitz: 2-1-1.
High corners: 12.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SR Fach-Donaufeld	SV Gloggnitz
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.4	1.2 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.7	0.4 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.4 / 7.2	1.9 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.75

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
04:13 +5’	2.15	3.75	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SR Fach-Donaufeld 1–1–2 SV Gloggnitz

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/03/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SR Fach-Donaufeld	1-4 HT 0-2	SV Gloggnitz
29/08/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Gloggnitz	1-1 HT 1-1	SR Fach-Donaufeld
16/05/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Gloggnitz	0-4 HT 0-0	SR Fach-Donaufeld
19/10/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SR Fach-Donaufeld	2-3 HT 1-3	SV Gloggnitz

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	8	7	0	1	25	8	21
2	Wiener Sportclub	8	5	1	2	18	5	16
3	Oberwart	8	5	0	3	17	12	15
4	FCM Traiskirchen	8	4	2	2	19	16	14
5	SC Wiener Viktoria	8	4	1	3	14	9	13
6	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	8	3	3	2	12	15	12
7	Parndorf	8	3	2	3	14	13	11
8	SR Fach-Donaufeld	8	3	2	3	7	10	11
9	SV Leobendorf	8	3	2	3	10	12	11
10	SV Horn	8	3	2	3	10	8	11
11	SV Donau	8	2	4	2	13	15	10
12	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	8	3	1	4	11	10	10
13	Favoritner AC	8	3	0	5	6	11	9
14	SV Gloggnitz	8	2	2	4	11	15	8
15	Kremser SC	8	2	2	4	10	12	8
16	SV Wienerberg	8	0	0	8	5	31	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SR Fach-Donaufeld	SV Gloggnitz
USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	2-2 D	1-1 D
SC Wiener Viktoria	0-1 L	1-1 D
Wiener Sportclub	0-0 D	1-4 L
Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	0-2 L	2-0 W
Favoritner AC	1-0 W	0-4 L
SV Horn	2-1 W	1-3 L
FC Marchfeld Donauauen	0-2 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	1 W 2 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SR Fach-Donaufeld

WLWWLWLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
20/09	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-1	2-2	5	3	D
12/09	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-1	10	5	L
04/09	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
29/08	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
21/08	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
14/08	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-4	4	4	L
07/08	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	10	9	W
31/07	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	2-1	7	5	W
03/06	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-2	13	2	L
29/05	TWL Elektra Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-2	4-2	8	1	W

SV Gloggnitz

LLWWLLDLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
12/09	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-1	5	7	D
04/09	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	2-3	10	3	L
29/08	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
22/08	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	0-2	5	4	L
14/08	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-4	4	3	L
07/08	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	3-1	–	–	W
01/08	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-0	4	7	W
06/06	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-5	1-6	8	5	L
29/05	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-4	4	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SR Fach-Donaufeld vs SV Gloggnitz?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SR Fach-Donaufeld win (41%). Probabilities: SR Fach-Donaufeld 41%, draw 24%, SV Gloggnitz 34%.

How many goals are expected in SR Fach-Donaufeld vs SV Gloggnitz?

The model expects 3.33 goals (SR Fach-Donaufeld 1.75 · SV Gloggnitz 1.58), with a 54% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SR Fach-Donaufeld vs SV Gloggnitz?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.