Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 25/09, 19:30

Prediction: SV Horn vs FCM Traiskirchen

Team pages: SV Horn · FCM Traiskirchen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.28Total

SV Horn1.65

FCM Traiskirchen1.63

1X2

38% 25% 37%

SV Horn Draw FCM Traiskirchen

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Horn 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWLWDDWLLW

FCM Traiskirchen 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LLDLWWDWLW

Head-to-head

SV Horn 2–2–2 FCM Traiskirchen (6 last)

SV Horn0-3FCM Traiskirchen
FCM Traiskirchen1-1SV Horn
FCM Traiskirchen3-5SV Horn
FCM Traiskirchen1-1SV Horn
SV Horn3-2FCM Traiskirchen
FCM Traiskirchen3-1SV Horn

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Horn 1496 · FCM Traiskirchen 1508

	SV Horn	Draw	FCM Traiskirchen
Our model	38%	25%	37%
Market	38%	24%	37%

Estimated total (ours) 3.28 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Horn	FCM Traiskirchen
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.1	2.2 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	1.1 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.6	3.3 / 7.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.2	5.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.35

X3.70

22.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.88

2 (0)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.40 → 2.40	Bet365 2.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
04:03 +5’	2.35	3.70	2.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Horn 2–2–2 FCM Traiskirchen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Horn	0-3 HT 0-1	FCM Traiskirchen
10/10/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	FCM Traiskirchen	1-1 HT 0-0	SV Horn
07/02/25 Europe Friendlies	FCM Traiskirchen	3-5 HT 2-3	SV Horn
19/07/24 Europe Friendlies	FCM Traiskirchen	1-1 HT 0-0	SV Horn
11/07/23 Europe Friendlies	SV Horn	3-2 HT 1-1	FCM Traiskirchen
27/01/23 Europe Friendlies	FCM Traiskirchen	3-1 HT 0-0	SV Horn

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	8	7	0	1	25	8	21
2	Wiener Sportclub	8	5	1	2	18	5	16
3	Oberwart	8	5	0	3	17	12	15
4	FCM Traiskirchen	8	4	2	2	19	16	14
5	SC Wiener Viktoria	8	4	1	3	14	9	13
6	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	8	3	3	2	12	15	12
7	Parndorf	8	3	2	3	14	13	11
8	SR Fach-Donaufeld	8	3	2	3	7	10	11
9	SV Leobendorf	8	3	2	3	10	12	11
10	SV Horn	8	3	2	3	10	8	11
11	SV Donau	8	2	4	2	13	15	10
12	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	8	3	1	4	11	10	10
13	Favoritner AC	8	3	0	5	6	11	9
14	SV Gloggnitz	8	2	2	4	11	15	8
15	Kremser SC	8	2	2	4	10	12	8
16	SV Wienerberg	8	0	0	8	5	31	0

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Horn	FCM Traiskirchen
FC Marchfeld Donauauen	1-3 L	1-3 L
Parndorf	0-1 L	3-1 W
Kremser SC	1-0 W	2-0 W
SV Donau	1-1 D	1-1 D
SV Leobendorf	0-0 D	5-4 W
SV Wienerberg	3-0 W	4-3 W
SR Fach-Donaufeld	1-2 L	0-1 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	4 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: FCM Traiskirchen (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Horn

LWLWDDWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
11/09	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	1-3	3	3	L
01/09	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
28/08	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	2	7	W
21/08	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-1	2	8	D
14/08	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
07/08	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	3-0	5	1	W
31/07	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-2	5	5	L
05/06	TWL Elektra Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	5-1	6	3	W
22/05	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-2	12	4	L

FCM Traiskirchen

LLDLWWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/09	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-0	4	8	W
18/09	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
11/09	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-1	3-1	3	6	W
28/08	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-1	1	8	D
21/08	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-2	5-4	3	10	W
15/08	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-2	4-3	13	2	W
07/08	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	4	9	L
31/07	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	3-3	15	4	D
03/06	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-3	1-5	10	4	L
28/05	Neusiedl Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	2-4	12	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Horn vs FCM Traiskirchen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SV Horn win (38%). Probabilities: SV Horn 38%, draw 25%, FCM Traiskirchen 37%.

How many goals are expected in SV Horn vs FCM Traiskirchen?

The model expects 3.28 goals (SV Horn 1.65 · FCM Traiskirchen 1.63), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Horn vs FCM Traiskirchen?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.