Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 26/09, 16:00

Prediction: SV Donau vs Wiener Sportclub

Team pages: SV Donau · Wiener Sportclub

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.76Total

SV Donau1.47

Wiener Sportclub2.28

1X2

23% 22% 55%

SV Donau Draw Wiener Sportclub

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Donau 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

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Wiener Sportclub 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWLDWL

Head-to-head

SV Donau 1–1 Wiener Sportclub (2 last)

SV Donau3-0Wiener Sportclub
Wiener Sportclub3-1SV Donau

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Donau 1499 · Wiener Sportclub 1518

	SV Donau	Draw	Wiener Sportclub
Our model	24%	21%	55%
Market	23%	22%	54%

Estimated total (ours) 3.76 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Donau	Wiener Sportclub
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.5	2.7 / 0.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 1	1.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 3.2	2.4 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.9 / 0.2	3.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.90

X4.00

21.65

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)2.00

2 (-0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.65 → 1.65	Bet365 1.65

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
04:12 +5’	3.90	4.00	1.65

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Donau 1–0–1 Wiener Sportclub

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/10/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Donau	3-0 HT 2-0	Wiener Sportclub
06/02/24 Europe Friendlies	Wiener Sportclub	3-1 HT 1-1	SV Donau

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	8	7	0	1	25	8	21
2	Wiener Sportclub	8	5	1	2	18	5	16
3	Oberwart	8	5	0	3	17	12	15
4	FCM Traiskirchen	8	4	2	2	19	16	14
5	SC Wiener Viktoria	8	4	1	3	14	9	13
6	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	8	3	3	2	12	15	12
7	Parndorf	8	3	2	3	14	13	11
8	SR Fach-Donaufeld	8	3	2	3	7	10	11
9	SV Leobendorf	8	3	2	3	10	12	11
10	SV Horn	8	3	2	3	10	8	11
11	SV Donau	8	2	4	2	13	15	10
12	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	8	3	1	4	11	10	10
13	Favoritner AC	8	3	0	5	6	11	9
14	SV Gloggnitz	8	2	2	4	11	15	8
15	Kremser SC	8	2	2	4	10	12	8
16	SV Wienerberg	8	0	0	8	5	31	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Donau	Wiener Sportclub
Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	2-2 D	1-0 W
Favoritner AC	4-0 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Donau

LLDLLDDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	2-2	4	10	D
11/09	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	4-0	2	2	W
04/09	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	2-0	3	6	W
28/08	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-1	6	8	D
21/08	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-1	5	8	D
15/08	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-2	1-4	3	6	L
07/08	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-3	1-6	2	4	L
31/07	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-1	2	5	D
03/06	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-2	2-5	3	5	L
29/05	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	1-5	2	7	L

Wiener Sportclub

WWWWWWLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-2	5	4	L
12/09	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	6-0	7	3	W
04/09	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
28/08	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
21/08	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-0	3-0	4	3	W
14/08	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	4-1	5	3	W
08/08	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
31/07	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
06/06	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	5-1	6-1	3	5	W
29/05	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	3-0	2	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Donau vs Wiener Sportclub?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Wiener Sportclub win (55%). Probabilities: SV Donau 23%, draw 22%, Wiener Sportclub 55%.

How many goals are expected in SV Donau vs Wiener Sportclub?

The model expects 3.76 goals (SV Donau 1.47 · Wiener Sportclub 2.28), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Donau vs Wiener Sportclub?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.