Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 26/09, 16:30

Prediction: SV Leobendorf vs SC Wiener Viktoria

Team pages: SV Leobendorf · SC Wiener Viktoria

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.2Total

SV Leobendorf1.69

SC Wiener Viktoria1.51

1X2

41% 25% 34%

SV Leobendorf Draw SC Wiener Viktoria

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Leobendorf 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWDWDLLLWW

SC Wiener Viktoria 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWLLWLDWWW

Head-to-head

SV Leobendorf 3–2–1 SC Wiener Viktoria (6 last)

SC Wiener Viktoria0-5SV Leobendorf
SV Leobendorf3-1SC Wiener Viktoria
SV Leobendorf1-1SC Wiener Viktoria
SC Wiener Viktoria1-1SV Leobendorf
SC Wiener Viktoria1-2SV Leobendorf
SV Leobendorf2-4SC Wiener Viktoria

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Leobendorf 1497 · SC Wiener Viktoria 1503

	SV Leobendorf	Draw	SC Wiener Viktoria
Our model	41%	25%	34%
Market	42%	24%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 3.2 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SV Leobendorf: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Leobendorf	SC Wiener Viktoria
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.6	2.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.9	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.7	2.4 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.1	3.8 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.15

X3.75

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.15 → 2.15	Bet365 2.15
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
04:14 +5’	2.15	3.75	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Leobendorf 3–2–1 SC Wiener Viktoria

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SC Wiener Viktoria	0-5 HT 0-2	SV Leobendorf
01/08/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Leobendorf	3-1 HT 2-1	SC Wiener Viktoria
08/03/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Leobendorf	1-1 HT 0-0	SC Wiener Viktoria
10/08/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SC Wiener Viktoria	1-1 HT 0-0	SV Leobendorf
30/03/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SC Wiener Viktoria	1-2 HT 1-1	SV Leobendorf
01/09/23 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Leobendorf	2-4 HT 1-1	SC Wiener Viktoria

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	8	7	0	1	25	8	21
2	Wiener Sportclub	8	5	1	2	18	5	16
3	Oberwart	8	5	0	3	17	12	15
4	FCM Traiskirchen	8	4	2	2	19	16	14
5	SC Wiener Viktoria	8	4	1	3	14	9	13
6	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	8	3	3	2	12	15	12
7	Parndorf	8	3	2	3	14	13	11
8	SR Fach-Donaufeld	8	3	2	3	7	10	11
9	SV Leobendorf	8	3	2	3	10	12	11
10	SV Horn	8	3	2	3	10	8	11
11	SV Donau	8	2	4	2	13	15	10
12	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	8	3	1	4	11	10	10
13	Favoritner AC	8	3	0	5	6	11	9
14	SV Gloggnitz	8	2	2	4	11	15	8
15	Kremser SC	8	2	2	4	10	12	8
16	SV Wienerberg	8	0	0	8	5	31	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Leobendorf	SC Wiener Viktoria
Wiener Sportclub	2-1 W	0-3 L
Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	2-1 W	3-1 W
Favoritner AC	0-3 L	0-1 L
Oberwart	0-1 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: SC Wiener Viktoria (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Leobendorf

LWDWDLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	2-1	5	4	W
12/09	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	2-1	8	9	W
04/09	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-3	6	4	L
29/08	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
21/08	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-3	4-5	1	10	L
14/08	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	9	2	D
07/08	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-0	7	5	W
31/07	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-1	3	7	D
03/06	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-1	5-1	12	4	W
29/05	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-3	1	3	L

SC Wiener Viktoria

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
19/09	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	3-0	10	1	W
12/09	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-0	1	5	W
05/09	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	5-1	8	3	W
29/08	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
21/08	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-3	0-3	1	3	L
15/08	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	3-1	1	5	W
07/08	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-1	4	2	L
01/08	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-2	6	6	L
03/06	Neusiedl Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-1	5-2	3	5	W
30/05	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-2	5	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Leobendorf vs SC Wiener Viktoria?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SV Leobendorf win (41%). Probabilities: SV Leobendorf 41%, draw 25%, SC Wiener Viktoria 34%.

How many goals are expected in SV Leobendorf vs SC Wiener Viktoria?

The model expects 3.2 goals (SV Leobendorf 1.69 · SC Wiener Viktoria 1.51), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Leobendorf vs SC Wiener Viktoria?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.