Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 25/09, 19:00

Prediction: Parndorf vs Favoritner AC

Team pages: Parndorf · Favoritner AC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.21Total

Parndorf2.32

Favoritner AC0.89

1X2

69% 19% 12%

Parndorf Draw Favoritner AC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Parndorf 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWDWDWLWLL

Favoritner AC 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLWWLL

Head-to-head

Parndorf 3–0 Favoritner AC (3 last)

Parndorf3-2Favoritner AC
Favoritner AC0-2Parndorf
Parndorf4-3Favoritner AC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Parndorf 1554 · Favoritner AC 1474

	Parndorf	Draw	Favoritner AC
Our model	68%	20%	12%
Market	69%	18%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Parndorf (rating 1554 vs 1474).
H2H favours Parndorf: 3-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Parndorf	Favoritner AC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.6	1.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.2 / 1.1	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.1	1.9 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0.2	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.30

X5.00

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.88

2 (+1.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 07:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.30▼	Bet365 1.30
X	4.00 → 5.00▲	Bet365 5.00
2	5.00 → 7.00▲	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
03:59 +8’	1.50	4.00	5.00
07:00 +5’	1.30▼	5.00▲	7.00▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Parndorf 3–0–0 Favoritner AC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/04/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Parndorf	3-2 HT 1-2	Favoritner AC
12/09/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Favoritner AC	0-2 HT 0-0	Parndorf
24/07/24 Europe Friendlies	Parndorf	4-3 HT 1-2	Favoritner AC

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	8	7	0	1	25	8	21
2	Wiener Sportclub	8	5	1	2	18	5	16
3	Oberwart	8	5	0	3	17	12	15
4	FCM Traiskirchen	8	4	2	2	19	16	14
5	SC Wiener Viktoria	8	4	1	3	14	9	13
6	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	8	3	3	2	12	15	12
7	Parndorf	8	3	2	3	14	13	11
8	SR Fach-Donaufeld	8	3	2	3	7	10	11
9	SV Leobendorf	8	3	2	3	10	12	11
10	SV Horn	8	3	2	3	10	8	11
11	SV Donau	8	2	4	2	13	15	10
12	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	8	3	1	4	11	10	10
13	Favoritner AC	8	3	0	5	6	11	9
14	SV Gloggnitz	8	2	2	4	11	15	8
15	Kremser SC	8	2	2	4	10	12	8
16	SV Wienerberg	8	0	0	8	5	31	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Parndorf	Favoritner AC
SV Gloggnitz	2-0 W	4-0 W
Kremser SC	1-1 D	0-3 L
SV Donau	6-1 W	0-4 L
SV Leobendorf	1-1 D	3-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 0 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Parndorf

WWDWDWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-3	11	4	L
11/09	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-3	1-3	7	6	L
01/09	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
28/08	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-2	1-4	4	2	L
22/08	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	2-0	2	4	W
14/08	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-1	3	9	D
07/08	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-1	6-1	4	4	W
31/07	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-1	3	7	D
03/06	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-2	5-2	3	5	W
29/05	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	2-1	0	4	W

Favoritner AC

WLLWLLWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/09	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-3	7	5	L
11/09	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-4	9	2	L
04/09	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	3-0	3	4	W
29/08	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	2-0	6	2	W
21/08	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
14/08	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
07/08	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-0	1	2	W
31/07	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-2	0	4	L
06/06	SC Retz Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-2	2	4	L
29/05	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	4-0	7	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Parndorf vs Favoritner AC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Parndorf win (69%). Probabilities: Parndorf 69%, draw 19%, Favoritner AC 12%.

How many goals are expected in Parndorf vs Favoritner AC?

The model expects 3.21 goals (Parndorf 2.32 · Favoritner AC 0.89), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Parndorf vs Favoritner AC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.