Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 16/10, 19:00

Prediction: SV Gloggnitz vs Oberwart

Team pages: SV Gloggnitz · Oberwart

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.37Total

SV Gloggnitz1.46

Oberwart1.9

1X2

29% 24% 47%

SV Gloggnitz Draw Oberwart

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Gloggnitz 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

WLLDLDLLWD

Oberwart 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LWWWLLWWWD

Head-to-head

SV Gloggnitz 0–2–2 Oberwart (4 last)

SV Gloggnitz0-4Oberwart
Oberwart1-0SV Gloggnitz
SV Gloggnitz0-0Oberwart
Oberwart2-2SV Gloggnitz

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Gloggnitz 1444 · Oberwart 1568

	SV Gloggnitz	Draw	Oberwart
Our model	29%	24%	47%
Market	29%	24%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 3.37 goals · Bet365 line 3.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oberwart (rating 1444 vs 1568).
H2H favours Oberwart: 2-2-0.
High corners: 11.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Gloggnitz	Oberwart
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.9	2 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1	0.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 6.2	2.2 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.5	4.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.75

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:04

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
05:58 +7’	3.10	3.75	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Gloggnitz 0–2–2 Oberwart

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/04/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Gloggnitz	0-4 HT 0-1	Oberwart
03/10/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Oberwart	1-0 HT 1-0	SV Gloggnitz
28/02/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Gloggnitz	0-0 HT 0-0	Oberwart
02/08/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Oberwart	2-2 HT 1-1	SV Gloggnitz

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	11	8	1	2	30	10	25
2	Oberwart	11	7	1	3	22	14	22
3	Wiener Sportclub	11	6	2	3	25	12	20
4	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	11	5	4	2	19	19	19
5	FCM Traiskirchen	11	5	3	3	24	21	18
6	Kremser SC	11	5	2	4	18	15	17
7	SC Wiener Viktoria	11	5	2	4	15	10	17
8	SR Fach-Donaufeld	11	5	2	4	13	13	17
9	Parndorf	11	4	3	4	16	15	15
10	SV Leobendorf	11	4	2	5	14	15	14
11	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	11	4	1	6	12	17	13
12	Favoritner AC	11	4	1	6	8	13	13
13	SV Donau	11	2	6	3	17	20	12
14	SV Gloggnitz	11	3	3	5	12	19	12
15	SV Horn	11	3	2	6	14	16	11
16	SV Wienerberg	11	0	1	10	6	36	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Gloggnitz	Oberwart
SV Wienerberg	0-0 D	5-2 W
FCM Traiskirchen	1-0 W	1-1 D
SR Fach-Donaufeld	0-4 L	4-1 W
SV Horn	1-3 L	3-1 W
USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	1-1 D	1-2 L
FC Marchfeld Donauauen	2-3 L	1-0 W
Parndorf	0-2 L	3-1 W
Kremser SC	3-1 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	5 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Oberwart (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Gloggnitz

WLLDLDLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	6	0	D
02/10	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
26/09	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-3	0-4	7	0	L
19/09	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
12/09	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-1	5	7	D
04/09	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	2-3	10	3	L
29/08	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
22/08	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	0-2	5	4	L
14/08	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-4	4	3	L
07/08	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	3-1	–	–	W

Oberwart

LWWWLLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-1	4	5	D
02/10	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	3-1	10	2	W
25/09	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-0	1	6	W
18/09	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	3-1	3	4	W
11/09	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-3	1-3	4	5	L
04/09	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-2	3	6	L
29/08	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	9	6	W
21/08	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-1	5-2	4	4	W
14/08	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	4-1	3	4	W
07/08	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-2	12	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Gloggnitz vs Oberwart?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Oberwart win (47%). Probabilities: SV Gloggnitz 29%, draw 24%, Oberwart 47%.

How many goals are expected in SV Gloggnitz vs Oberwart?

The model expects 3.37 goals (SV Gloggnitz 1.46 · Oberwart 1.9), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Gloggnitz vs Oberwart?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.