Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 23/10, 20:00

Prediction: SV Leobendorf vs SV Gloggnitz

Team pages: SV Leobendorf · SV Gloggnitz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.77Total

SV Leobendorf1.65

SV Gloggnitz1.13

1X2

49% 25% 26%

SV Leobendorf Draw SV Gloggnitz

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Leobendorf 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

DLLLWWLLWW

SV Gloggnitz 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

LLDLDLLWDD

Head-to-head

SV Leobendorf 1–1–2 SV Gloggnitz (4 last)

SV Gloggnitz1-0SV Leobendorf
SV Leobendorf0-1SV Gloggnitz
SV Gloggnitz2-2SV Leobendorf
SV Leobendorf5-0SV Gloggnitz

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Leobendorf 1491 · SV Gloggnitz 1455

	SV Leobendorf	Draw	SV Gloggnitz
Our model	48%	27%	25%
Market	50%	24%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.77 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SV Gloggnitz: 2-1-1.
High corners: 11.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Leobendorf	SV Gloggnitz
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.4	0.8 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.9	0.3 / 1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	0/60/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.4	1.6 / 5.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.1	2.4 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.75

23.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.8

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
04:04 +4’	1.80	3.75	3.40

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Leobendorf 1–1–2 SV Gloggnitz

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
30/04/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Gloggnitz	1-0 HT 0-0	SV Leobendorf
18/10/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Leobendorf	0-1 HT 0-1	SV Gloggnitz
26/03/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Gloggnitz	2-2 HT 1-1	SV Leobendorf
17/08/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Leobendorf	5-0 HT 2-0	SV Gloggnitz

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	12	8	1	3	30	12	25
2	Wiener Sportclub	12	7	2	3	27	12	23
3	Oberwart	12	7	2	3	23	15	23
4	FCM Traiskirchen	12	6	3	3	26	22	21
5	Kremser SC	12	6	2	4	20	16	20
6	SC Wiener Viktoria	12	6	2	4	16	10	20
7	SR Fach-Donaufeld	12	6	2	4	14	13	20
8	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	12	5	4	3	20	21	19
9	SV Leobendorf	12	5	2	5	17	15	17
10	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	12	5	1	6	13	17	16
11	Parndorf	12	4	3	5	16	16	15
12	Favoritner AC	12	4	1	7	9	15	13
13	SV Gloggnitz	12	3	4	5	13	20	13
14	SV Donau	12	2	6	4	17	21	12
15	SV Horn	12	3	2	7	14	17	11
16	SV Wienerberg	12	0	1	11	6	39	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Leobendorf	SV Gloggnitz
SV Wienerberg	3-0 W	0-0 D
SR Fach-Donaufeld	3-0 W	0-4 L
USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	1-2 L	1-1 D
SC Wiener Viktoria	0-1 L	1-1 D
Wiener Sportclub	2-1 W	1-4 L
Oberwart	0-1 L	1-1 D
FCM Traiskirchen	4-5 L	1-0 W
SV Horn	0-0 D	1-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 4 D 3 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Leobendorf

DLLLWWLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	3-0	9	3	W
11/10	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	3-0	4	3	W
04/10	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-2	8	3	L
26/09	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	9	5	L
18/09	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	2-1	5	4	W
12/09	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	2-1	8	9	W
04/09	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-3	6	4	L
29/08	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
21/08	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-3	4-5	1	10	L
14/08	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	9	2	D

SV Gloggnitz

LLDLDLLWDD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-1	1	3	D
10/10	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	6	0	D
02/10	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
26/09	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-3	0-4	7	0	L
19/09	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-3	–	–	L
12/09	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-1	5	7	D
04/09	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	2-3	10	3	L
29/08	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
22/08	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	0-2	5	4	L
14/08	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-4	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Leobendorf vs SV Gloggnitz?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SV Leobendorf win (49%). Probabilities: SV Leobendorf 49%, draw 25%, SV Gloggnitz 26%.

How many goals are expected in SV Leobendorf vs SV Gloggnitz?

The model expects 2.77 goals (SV Leobendorf 1.65 · SV Gloggnitz 1.13), with a 56% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Leobendorf vs SV Gloggnitz?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.