Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 24/10, 16:00

Prediction: SV Donau vs SV Wienerberg

Team pages: SV Donau · SV Wienerberg

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.72Total

SV Donau2.64

SV Wienerberg1.08

1X2

70% 17% 13%

SV Donau Draw SV Wienerberg

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Donau 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LDDWWDLDDL

SV Wienerberg 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLLLDL

Head-to-head

SV Donau 0–3–3 SV Wienerberg (6 last)

SV Donau0-0SV Wienerberg
SV Wienerberg2-0SV Donau
SV Wienerberg5-1SV Donau
SV Donau2-2SV Wienerberg
SV Wienerberg3-1SV Donau
SV Wienerberg0-0SV Donau

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Donau 1496 · SV Wienerberg 1387

	SV Donau	Draw	SV Wienerberg
Our model	70%	18%	13%
Market	70%	17%	13%

Estimated total (ours) 3.72 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SV Donau (rating 1496 vs 1387).
H2H favours SV Wienerberg: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Donau	SV Wienerberg
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.4	0.6 / 3.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.3 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	0/30/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.9	0.8 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.5 / 0.2	2.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.28

X5.25

27.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.75)1.95

2 (+1.75)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.85

Under 3.251.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28
X	5.25 → 5.25	Bet365 5.25
2	7.00 → 7.00	Bet365 7.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
09:10 +3’	1.28	5.25	7.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Donau 0–3–3 SV Wienerberg

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/25 Austria Landesliga	SV Donau	0-0 HT 0-0	SV Wienerberg
02/11/24 Austria Landesliga	SV Wienerberg	2-0 HT 0-0	SV Donau
04/11/23 Austria Landesliga	SV Wienerberg	5-1 HT 1-1	SV Donau
03/06/23 Austria Landesliga	SV Donau	2-2 HT 1-2	SV Wienerberg
06/11/21 Austria Landesliga	SV Wienerberg	3-1 HT 1-0	SV Donau
12/06/21 Austria Landesliga	SV Wienerberg	0-0 HT 0-0	SV Donau

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	12	8	1	3	30	12	25
2	Wiener Sportclub	12	7	2	3	27	12	23
3	Oberwart	12	7	2	3	23	15	23
4	FCM Traiskirchen	12	6	3	3	26	22	21
5	Kremser SC	12	6	2	4	20	16	20
6	SC Wiener Viktoria	12	6	2	4	16	10	20
7	SR Fach-Donaufeld	12	6	2	4	14	13	20
8	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	12	5	4	3	20	21	19
9	SV Leobendorf	12	5	2	5	17	15	17
10	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	12	5	1	6	13	17	16
11	Parndorf	12	4	3	5	16	16	15
12	Favoritner AC	12	4	1	7	9	15	13
13	SV Gloggnitz	12	3	4	5	13	20	13
14	SV Donau	12	2	6	4	17	21	12
15	SV Horn	12	3	2	7	14	17	11
16	SV Wienerberg	12	0	1	11	6	39	1

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Donau	SV Wienerberg
SR Fach-Donaufeld	0-1 L	0-2 L
USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	2-2 D	1-3 L
SC Wiener Viktoria	0-0 D	0-3 L
Wiener Sportclub	2-3 L	0-6 L
Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	2-2 D	0-3 L
Favoritner AC	4-0 W	0-2 L
Oberwart	2-0 W	2-5 L
FCM Traiskirchen	1-1 D	3-4 L
Record vs common	2 W 4 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 8 L

Better against common opponents: SV Donau (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Donau

LDDWWDLDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	2	7	L
10/10	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-2	12	5	D
03/10	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	6	1	D
26/09	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	2-3	6	4	L
18/09	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	2-2	4	10	D
11/09	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	4-0	2	2	W
04/09	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	2-0	3	6	W
28/08	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-1	6	8	D
21/08	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-1	5	8	D
15/08	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-2	1-4	3	6	L

SV Wienerberg

LLLLLLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	0-3	8	3	L
10/10	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	3	0	D
03/10	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
26/09	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-3	5	1	L
19/09	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	0-3	2	1	L
12/09	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	0-6	1	3	L
04/09	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	0-3	1	1	L
29/08	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	0-2	2	2	L
21/08	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-2	2-5	1	4	L
15/08	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-2	3-4	1	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Donau vs SV Wienerberg?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SV Donau win (70%). Probabilities: SV Donau 70%, draw 17%, SV Wienerberg 13%.

How many goals are expected in SV Donau vs SV Wienerberg?

The model expects 3.72 goals (SV Donau 2.64 · SV Wienerberg 1.08), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Donau vs SV Wienerberg?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.