Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 23/10, 19:30

Prediction: SV Horn vs Wiener Sportclub

Team pages: SV Horn · Wiener Sportclub

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

SV Horn1.21

Wiener Sportclub1.72

1X2

26% 25% 49%

SV Horn Draw Wiener Sportclub

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Horn 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

DDWLLWLLLL

Wiener Sportclub 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WWLDWLWLDW

Head-to-head

SV Horn 5–1 Wiener Sportclub (6 last)

Wiener Sportclub0-1SV Horn
SV Horn5-1Wiener Sportclub
Wiener Sportclub1-3SV Horn
Wiener Sportclub1-3SV Horn
Wiener Sportclub2-1SV Horn
Wiener Sportclub1-4SV Horn

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Horn 1466 · Wiener Sportclub 1524

	SV Horn	Draw	Wiener Sportclub
Our model	26%	26%	48%
Market	27%	23%	50%

Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wiener Sportclub (rating 1466 vs 1524).
H2H favours SV Horn: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Horn	Wiener Sportclub
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.5	2.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	1.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3	1.9 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.3	3.9 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.30

X3.80

21.80

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.95

2 (-0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 05:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.30▼	Bet365 3.30
X	3.90 → 3.80▼	Bet365 3.80
2	1.73 → 1.80▲	Bet365 1.80

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
03:42 +26’	3.60	3.90	1.73
04:50 +15’	3.30▼	3.80▼	1.80▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Horn 5–0–1 Wiener Sportclub

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/04/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Wiener Sportclub	0-1 HT 0-0	SV Horn
03/10/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Horn	5-1 HT 1-1	Wiener Sportclub
27/06/25 Europe Friendlies	Wiener Sportclub	1-3 HT 0-2	SV Horn
11/01/25 Europe Friendlies	Wiener Sportclub	1-3 HT 0-0	SV Horn
26/01/24 Europe Friendlies	Wiener Sportclub	2-1 HT 2-0	SV Horn
25/01/22 Europe Friendlies	Wiener Sportclub	1-4 HT 1-2	SV Horn

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	12	8	1	3	30	12	25
2	Wiener Sportclub	12	7	2	3	27	12	23
3	Oberwart	12	7	2	3	23	15	23
4	FCM Traiskirchen	12	6	3	3	26	22	21
5	Kremser SC	12	6	2	4	20	16	20
6	SC Wiener Viktoria	12	6	2	4	16	10	20
7	SR Fach-Donaufeld	12	6	2	4	14	13	20
8	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	12	5	4	3	20	21	19
9	SV Leobendorf	12	5	2	5	17	15	17
10	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	12	5	1	6	13	17	16
11	Parndorf	12	4	3	5	16	16	15
12	Favoritner AC	12	4	1	7	9	15	13
13	SV Gloggnitz	12	3	4	5	13	20	13
14	SV Donau	12	2	6	4	17	21	12
15	SV Horn	12	3	2	7	14	17	11
16	SV Wienerberg	12	0	1	11	6	39	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Horn	Wiener Sportclub
SV Gloggnitz	3-1 W	4-1 W
FC Marchfeld Donauauen	1-3 L	2-0 W
Parndorf	0-1 L	1-1 D
Kremser SC	1-0 W	3-4 L
SV Donau	1-1 D	3-2 W
SV Leobendorf	0-0 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Wiener Sportclub (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Horn

DDWLLWLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
10/10	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
02/10	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-3	2	2	L
25/09	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	3-4	7	4	L
19/09	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
11/09	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	1-3	3	3	L
01/09	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
28/08	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	2	7	W
21/08	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-1	2	8	D
14/08	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	1	2	D

Wiener Sportclub

WWLDWLWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-0	2	4	W
09/10	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-1	4	5	D
02/10	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-3	3-4	4	6	L
26/09	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	3-2	2	4	W
18/09	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-2	5	4	L
12/09	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	6-0	7	3	W
04/09	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
28/08	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
21/08	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-0	3-0	4	3	W
14/08	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	4-1	5	3	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Horn vs Wiener Sportclub?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Wiener Sportclub win (49%). Probabilities: SV Horn 26%, draw 25%, Wiener Sportclub 49%.

How many goals are expected in SV Horn vs Wiener Sportclub?

The model expects 2.93 goals (SV Horn 1.21 · Wiener Sportclub 1.72), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Horn vs Wiener Sportclub?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.