Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 23/10, 19:30

Prediction: FCM Traiskirchen vs Mattersburger Sportverein 2020

Team pages: FCM Traiskirchen · Mattersburger Sportverein 2020

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.52Total

FCM Traiskirchen2.28

Mattersburger Sportverein 20201.24

1X2

60% 21% 19%

FCM Traiskirchen Draw Mattersburger Sportverein 2020

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

FCM Traiskirchen 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWDWLWWLDW

Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

LWWWLDLWLW

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FCM Traiskirchen 1531 · Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 1509

	FCM Traiskirchen	Draw	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020
Our model	60%	21%	19%
Market	60%	21%	19%

Estimated total (ours) 3.52 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FCM Traiskirchen	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.8	1.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.8	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.3 / 4.8	1.7 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.3 / 0.4	5.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.20

24.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.80

2 (+1)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.93

Under 3.251.88

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
04:03 +4’	1.50	4.20	4.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	12	8	1	3	30	12	25
2	Wiener Sportclub	12	7	2	3	27	12	23
3	Oberwart	12	7	2	3	23	15	23
4	FCM Traiskirchen	12	6	3	3	26	22	21
5	Kremser SC	12	6	2	4	20	16	20
6	SC Wiener Viktoria	12	6	2	4	16	10	20
7	SR Fach-Donaufeld	12	6	2	4	14	13	20
8	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	12	5	4	3	20	21	19
9	SV Leobendorf	12	5	2	5	17	15	17
10	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	12	5	1	6	13	17	16
11	Parndorf	12	4	3	5	16	16	15
12	Favoritner AC	12	4	1	7	9	15	13
13	SV Gloggnitz	12	3	4	5	13	20	13
14	SV Donau	12	2	6	4	17	21	12
15	SV Horn	12	3	2	7	14	17	11
16	SV Wienerberg	12	0	1	11	6	39	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FCM Traiskirchen	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020
SV Horn	4-3 W	1-0 W
Kremser SC	2-0 W	0-3 L
FC Marchfeld Donauauen	1-3 L	0-4 L
Parndorf	3-1 W	1-0 W
SV Donau	1-1 D	2-2 D
SV Leobendorf	5-4 W	1-2 L
SV Wienerberg	4-3 W	3-0 W
Record vs common	5 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FCM Traiskirchen (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FCM Traiskirchen

WWDWLWWLDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	2-1	7	2	W
09/10	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-1	6	5	D
02/10	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
25/09	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	4-3	1	4	W
22/09	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-0	4	8	W
18/09	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	1-3	–	–	L
11/09	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-1	3-1	3	6	W
28/08	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-1	1	8	D
21/08	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-2	5-4	3	10	W
15/08	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-2	4-3	13	2	W

Mattersburger Sportverein 2020

LWWWLDLWLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
09/10	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-4	3	4	L
03/10	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	1	5	W
25/09	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-3	0-3	2	5	L
18/09	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	2-2	4	10	D
12/09	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-2	5	9	L
04/09	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	3-0	5	1	W
29/08	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
22/08	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	2-0	8	7	W
15/08	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	1-3	7	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FCM Traiskirchen vs Mattersburger Sportverein 2020?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FCM Traiskirchen win (60%). Probabilities: FCM Traiskirchen 60%, draw 21%, Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 19%.

How many goals are expected in FCM Traiskirchen vs Mattersburger Sportverein 2020?

The model expects 3.52 goals (FCM Traiskirchen 2.28 · Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 1.24), with a 51% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in FCM Traiskirchen vs Mattersburger Sportverein 2020?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.