Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 23/10, 19:30

Prediction: Oberwart vs Favoritner AC

Team pages: Oberwart · Favoritner AC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.32Total

Oberwart2.19

Favoritner AC1.13

1X2

61% 22% 18%

Oberwart Draw Favoritner AC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Oberwart 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

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Favoritner AC 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Oberwart 2–2–2 Favoritner AC (6 last)

Oberwart4-1Favoritner AC
Favoritner AC3-2Oberwart
Favoritner AC0-0Oberwart
Oberwart4-0Favoritner AC
Oberwart1-2Favoritner AC
Favoritner AC0-0Oberwart

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oberwart 1569 · Favoritner AC 1462

	Oberwart	Draw	Favoritner AC
Our model	61%	22%	18%
Market	61%	21%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 3.32 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oberwart (rating 1569 vs 1462).
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Oberwart	Favoritner AC
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 1.2	0.8 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.9	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.7	2.6 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.3	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.48

X4.20

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.00

2 (+1.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.48 → 1.48	Bet365 1.48
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
04:00 +7’	1.48	4.20	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Oberwart 2–2–2 Favoritner AC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Oberwart	4-1 HT 2-0	Favoritner AC
24/10/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Favoritner AC	3-2 HT 1-0	Oberwart
11/04/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Favoritner AC	0-0 HT 0-0	Oberwart
24/09/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Oberwart	4-0 HT 1-0	Favoritner AC
15/03/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Oberwart	1-2 HT 1-2	Favoritner AC
18/08/23 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Favoritner AC	0-0 HT 0-0	Oberwart

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	12	8	1	3	30	12	25
2	Wiener Sportclub	12	7	2	3	27	12	23
3	Oberwart	12	7	2	3	23	15	23
4	FCM Traiskirchen	12	6	3	3	26	22	21
5	Kremser SC	12	6	2	4	20	16	20
6	SC Wiener Viktoria	12	6	2	4	16	10	20
7	SR Fach-Donaufeld	12	6	2	4	14	13	20
8	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	12	5	4	3	20	21	19
9	SV Leobendorf	12	5	2	5	17	15	17
10	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	12	5	1	6	13	17	16
11	Parndorf	12	4	3	5	16	16	15
12	Favoritner AC	12	4	1	7	9	15	13
13	SV Gloggnitz	12	3	4	5	13	20	13
14	SV Donau	12	2	6	4	17	21	12
15	SV Horn	12	3	2	7	14	17	11
16	SV Wienerberg	12	0	1	11	6	39	1

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Oberwart	Favoritner AC
FCM Traiskirchen	1-1 D	1-2 L
SV Horn	3-1 W	1-0 W
FC Marchfeld Donauauen	1-0 W	1-1 D
Parndorf	3-1 W	0-1 L
Kremser SC	1-3 L	0-3 L
SV Donau	0-2 L	0-4 L
SV Leobendorf	1-0 W	3-0 W
SV Wienerberg	5-2 W	2-0 W
SR Fach-Donaufeld	4-1 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	6 W 1 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Oberwart (8 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oberwart

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-1	6	3	D
09/10	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-1	4	5	D
02/10	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	3-1	10	2	W
25/09	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-0	1	6	W
18/09	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	3-1	3	4	W
11/09	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-3	1-3	4	5	L
04/09	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-2	3	6	L
29/08	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	9	6	W
21/08	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-1	5-2	4	4	W
14/08	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	4-1	3	4	W

Favoritner AC

LLWWLLLDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-2	2	2	L
10/10	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-0	10	5	W
02/10	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-1	4	3	D
25/09	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	2	1	L
18/09	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-3	7	5	L
11/09	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-4	9	2	L
04/09	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	3-0	3	4	W
29/08	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	2-0	6	2	W
21/08	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
14/08	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	3	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oberwart vs Favoritner AC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Oberwart win (61%). Probabilities: Oberwart 61%, draw 22%, Favoritner AC 18%.

How many goals are expected in Oberwart vs Favoritner AC?

The model expects 3.32 goals (Oberwart 2.19 · Favoritner AC 1.13), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Oberwart vs Favoritner AC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.