Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 23/10, 20:00

Prediction: Kremser SC vs SR Fach-Donaufeld

Team pages: Kremser SC · SR Fach-Donaufeld

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.77Total

Kremser SC1.54

SR Fach-Donaufeld1.23

1X2

44% 26% 30%

Kremser SC Draw SR Fach-Donaufeld

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Kremser SC 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

DLLWWLWWWW

SR Fach-Donaufeld 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LWLDLDWWLW

Head-to-head

Kremser SC 1–4–1 SR Fach-Donaufeld (6 last)

Kremser SC2-0SR Fach-Donaufeld
SR Fach-Donaufeld1-1Kremser SC
Kremser SC0-0SR Fach-Donaufeld
SR Fach-Donaufeld3-2Kremser SC
SR Fach-Donaufeld1-1Kremser SC
Kremser SC1-1SR Fach-Donaufeld

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kremser SC 1557 · SR Fach-Donaufeld 1479

	Kremser SC	Draw	SR Fach-Donaufeld
Our model	43%	27%	29%
Market	45%	24%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.77 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kremser SC (rating 1557 vs 1479).
Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kremser SC	SR Fach-Donaufeld
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.2	1.1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.5	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/0/30%	50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 3.7	3.5 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.4 / 0.4	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.00

X3.70

22.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.82

2 (+0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 32.02

Under 31.77

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
04:03 +5’	2.00	3.70	2.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kremser SC 1–4–1 SR Fach-Donaufeld

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Kremser SC	2-0 HT 1-0	SR Fach-Donaufeld
18/10/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SR Fach-Donaufeld	1-1 HT 0-0	Kremser SC
07/03/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Kremser SC	0-0 HT 0-0	SR Fach-Donaufeld
10/08/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SR Fach-Donaufeld	3-2 HT 0-1	Kremser SC
13/04/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SR Fach-Donaufeld	1-1 HT 0-1	Kremser SC
15/09/23 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Kremser SC	1-1 HT 0-1	SR Fach-Donaufeld

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	12	8	1	3	30	12	25
2	Wiener Sportclub	12	7	2	3	27	12	23
3	Oberwart	12	7	2	3	23	15	23
4	FCM Traiskirchen	12	6	3	3	26	22	21
5	Kremser SC	12	6	2	4	20	16	20
6	SC Wiener Viktoria	12	6	2	4	16	10	20
7	SR Fach-Donaufeld	12	6	2	4	14	13	20
8	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	12	5	4	3	20	21	19
9	SV Leobendorf	12	5	2	5	17	15	17
10	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	12	5	1	6	13	17	16
11	Parndorf	12	4	3	5	16	16	15
12	Favoritner AC	12	4	1	7	9	15	13
13	SV Gloggnitz	12	3	4	5	13	20	13
14	SV Donau	12	2	6	4	17	21	12
15	SV Horn	12	3	2	7	14	17	11
16	SV Wienerberg	12	0	1	11	6	39	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kremser SC	SR Fach-Donaufeld
USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	2-1 W	2-2 D
SC Wiener Viktoria	1-0 W	0-1 L
Wiener Sportclub	4-3 W	0-0 D
Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	3-0 W	0-2 L
Favoritner AC	3-0 W	1-0 W
Oberwart	3-1 W	1-4 L
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 0 L	1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Kremser SC (6 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kremser SC

DLLWWLWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	2-1	5	8	W
09/10	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	8	7	W
02/10	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-2	4-3	2	6	W
25/09	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-0	3-0	2	5	W
22/09	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-2	6	8	L
18/09	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	3-0	1	5	W
11/09	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-0	3-1	6	5	W
28/08	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
21/08	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-3	0	8	L
14/08	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-1	3	9	D

SR Fach-Donaufeld

LWLDLDWWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	15	7	W
11/10	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	0-3	3	3	L
03/10	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-0	7	6	W
26/09	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-0	4-0	6	0	W
20/09	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-1	2-2	5	3	D
12/09	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-1	10	5	L
04/09	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
29/08	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
21/08	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
14/08	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-4	4	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kremser SC vs SR Fach-Donaufeld?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kremser SC win (44%). Probabilities: Kremser SC 44%, draw 26%, SR Fach-Donaufeld 30%.

How many goals are expected in Kremser SC vs SR Fach-Donaufeld?

The model expects 2.77 goals (Kremser SC 1.54 · SR Fach-Donaufeld 1.23), with a 57% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Kremser SC vs SR Fach-Donaufeld?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.