Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 17/10, 15:00

Prediction: SV Wienerberg vs SV Leobendorf

Team pages: SV Wienerberg · SV Leobendorf

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

SV Wienerberg0.92

SV Leobendorf2.21

1X2

14% 19% 67%

SV Wienerberg Draw SV Leobendorf

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

0-2 11%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Wienerberg 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

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SV Leobendorf 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Wienerberg 1383 · SV Leobendorf 1486

	SV Wienerberg	Draw	SV Leobendorf
Our model	14%	21%	66%
Market	15%	18%	67%

Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SV Leobendorf (rating 1383 vs 1486).
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Wienerberg	SV Leobendorf
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 3.1	1.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.4	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/30/70%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.7 / 2.5	2.3 / 6.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2 / 0.1	5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

16.00

X5.00

21.33

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.90

2 (-1.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:10

	Bet365	Best now
1	6.00 → 6.00	Bet365 6.00
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
05:59 +12’	6.00	5.00	1.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	11	8	1	2	30	10	25
2	Oberwart	11	7	1	3	22	14	22
3	Wiener Sportclub	11	6	2	3	25	12	20
4	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	11	5	4	2	19	19	19
5	FCM Traiskirchen	11	5	3	3	24	21	18
6	Kremser SC	11	5	2	4	18	15	17
7	SC Wiener Viktoria	11	5	2	4	15	10	17
8	SR Fach-Donaufeld	11	5	2	4	13	13	17
9	Parndorf	11	4	3	4	16	15	15
10	SV Leobendorf	11	4	2	5	14	15	14
11	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	11	4	1	6	12	17	13
12	Favoritner AC	11	4	1	6	8	13	13
13	SV Donau	11	2	6	3	17	20	12
14	SV Gloggnitz	11	3	3	5	12	19	12
15	SV Horn	11	3	2	6	14	16	11
16	SV Wienerberg	11	0	1	10	6	36	1

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Wienerberg	SV Leobendorf
SR Fach-Donaufeld	0-2 L	3-0 W
USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	1-3 L	1-2 L
SC Wiener Viktoria	0-3 L	0-1 L
Wiener Sportclub	0-6 L	2-1 W
Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	0-3 L	2-1 W
Favoritner AC	0-2 L	0-3 L
Oberwart	2-5 L	0-1 L
FCM Traiskirchen	3-4 L	4-5 L
SV Horn	0-3 L	0-0 D
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 9 L	3 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: SV Leobendorf (7 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Wienerberg

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	3	0	D
03/10	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
26/09	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-3	5	1	L
19/09	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	0-3	2	1	L
12/09	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	0-6	1	3	L
04/09	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	0-3	1	1	L
29/08	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	0-2	2	2	L
21/08	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-2	2-5	1	4	L
15/08	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-2	3-4	1	2	L
07/08	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-3	4	1	L

SV Leobendorf

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	3-0	4	3	W
04/10	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-2	8	3	L
26/09	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	9	5	L
18/09	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	2-1	5	4	W
12/09	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	2-1	8	9	W
04/09	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-3	6	4	L
29/08	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
21/08	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-3	4-5	1	10	L
14/08	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	9	2	D
07/08	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-0	7	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Wienerberg vs SV Leobendorf?

According to our model, the most likely result is an SV Leobendorf win (67%). Probabilities: SV Wienerberg 14%, draw 19%, SV Leobendorf 67%.

How many goals are expected in SV Wienerberg vs SV Leobendorf?

The model expects 3.13 goals (SV Wienerberg 0.92 · SV Leobendorf 2.21), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Wienerberg vs SV Leobendorf?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.