Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 17/10, 15:00

Prediction: SR Fach-Donaufeld vs SV Donau

Team pages: SR Fach-Donaufeld · SV Donau

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.96Total

SR Fach-Donaufeld1.86

SV Donau1.1

1X2

55% 23% 22%

SR Fach-Donaufeld Draw SV Donau

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

SR Fach-Donaufeld 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLDLDWWL

SV Donau 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LLDDWWDLDD

Head-to-head

SR Fach-Donaufeld 0–2–0 SV Donau (2 last)

SV Donau1-1SR Fach-Donaufeld
SR Fach-Donaufeld2-2SV Donau

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SR Fach-Donaufeld 1488 · SV Donau 1494

	SR Fach-Donaufeld	Draw	SV Donau
Our model	54%	25%	21%
Market	55%	22%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 2.96 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SR Fach-Donaufeld	SV Donau
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.2	1.6 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 6	2 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.2	5.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.61

X4.00

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
05:09 +4’	1.61	4.00	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SR Fach-Donaufeld 0–2–0 SV Donau

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Date	Home	Score	Away
17/03/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Donau	1-1 HT 0-1	SR Fach-Donaufeld
01/08/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SR Fach-Donaufeld	2-2 HT 0-1	SV Donau

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	11	8	1	2	30	10	25
2	Oberwart	11	7	1	3	22	14	22
3	Wiener Sportclub	11	6	2	3	25	12	20
4	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	11	5	4	2	19	19	19
5	FCM Traiskirchen	11	5	3	3	24	21	18
6	Kremser SC	11	5	2	4	18	15	17
7	SC Wiener Viktoria	11	5	2	4	15	10	17
8	SR Fach-Donaufeld	11	5	2	4	13	13	17
9	Parndorf	11	4	3	4	16	15	15
10	SV Leobendorf	11	4	2	5	14	15	14
11	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	11	4	1	6	12	17	13
12	Favoritner AC	11	4	1	6	8	13	13
13	SV Donau	11	2	6	3	17	20	12
14	SV Gloggnitz	11	3	3	5	12	19	12
15	SV Horn	11	3	2	6	14	16	11
16	SV Wienerberg	11	0	1	10	6	36	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SR Fach-Donaufeld	SV Donau
USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	2-2 D	2-2 D
SC Wiener Viktoria	0-1 L	0-0 D
Wiener Sportclub	0-0 D	2-3 L
Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	0-2 L	2-2 D
Favoritner AC	1-0 W	4-0 W
Oberwart	1-4 L	2-0 W
FCM Traiskirchen	1-0 W	1-1 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: SV Donau (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SR Fach-Donaufeld

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	0-3	3	3	L
03/10	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-0	7	6	W
26/09	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-0	4-0	6	0	W
20/09	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-1	2-2	5	3	D
12/09	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-1	10	5	L
04/09	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
29/08	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
21/08	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
14/08	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-4	4	4	L
07/08	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	10	9	W

SV Donau

LLDDWWDLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-2	12	5	D
03/10	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	6	1	D
26/09	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	2-3	6	4	L
18/09	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	2-2	4	10	D
11/09	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	4-0	2	2	W
04/09	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	2-0	3	6	W
28/08	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-1	6	8	D
21/08	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-1	5	8	D
15/08	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-2	1-4	3	6	L
07/08	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-3	1-6	2	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SR Fach-Donaufeld vs SV Donau?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SR Fach-Donaufeld win (55%). Probabilities: SR Fach-Donaufeld 55%, draw 23%, SV Donau 22%.

How many goals are expected in SR Fach-Donaufeld vs SV Donau?

The model expects 2.96 goals (SR Fach-Donaufeld 1.86 · SV Donau 1.1), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SR Fach-Donaufeld vs SV Donau?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.