Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 31/10, 15:00

Prediction: SV Leobendorf vs SV Donau

Team pages: SV Leobendorf · SV Donau

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.93Total

SV Leobendorf1.71

SV Donau1.22

1X2

49% 24% 27%

SV Leobendorf Draw SV Donau

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Leobendorf 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

LLLWWLLWWD

SV Donau 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DDWWDLDDLW

Head-to-head

SV Leobendorf 3–2–0 SV Donau (5 last)

SV Leobendorf0-0SV Donau
SV Donau0-2SV Leobendorf
SV Donau0-1SV Leobendorf
SV Leobendorf2-1SV Donau
SV Donau2-2SV Leobendorf

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Leobendorf 1496 · SV Donau 1517

	SV Leobendorf	Draw	SV Donau
Our model	48%	26%	26%
Market	50%	22%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.93 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours SV Leobendorf: 3-2-0.
High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Leobendorf	SV Donau
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 1.5	2.2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.9	0.8 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/20/50%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.5 / 5.7	2.2 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.9 / 0.1	5.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.80

X4.10

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.2

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 01:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.00 → 1.80▼	Bet365 1.80
X	4.00 → 4.10▲	Bet365 4.10
2	2.75 → 3.20▲	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
23:22 +18’	2.00	4.00	2.75
01:07 +14’	1.80▼	4.10▲	3.20▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Leobendorf 3–2–0 SV Donau

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
06/04/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Leobendorf	0-0 HT 0-0	SV Donau
19/09/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Donau	0-2 HT 0-1	SV Leobendorf
07/02/25 Europe Friendlies	SV Donau	0-1 HT 0-0	SV Leobendorf
17/07/24 Europe Friendlies	SV Leobendorf	2-1 HT 0-1	SV Donau
01/02/24 Europe Friendlies	SV Donau	2-2 HT 2-1	SV Leobendorf

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	13	9	1	3	33	12	28
2	Wiener Sportclub	13	8	2	3	31	15	26
3	Oberwart	13	8	2	3	26	15	26
4	FCM Traiskirchen	13	7	3	3	28	23	24
5	Kremser SC	13	7	2	4	24	19	23
6	SC Wiener Viktoria	13	6	2	5	16	13	20
7	SR Fach-Donaufeld	13	6	2	5	17	17	20
8	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	13	5	4	4	20	26	19
9	Parndorf	13	5	3	5	21	16	18
10	SV Leobendorf	13	5	3	5	18	16	18
11	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	13	5	1	7	14	19	16
12	SV Donau	13	3	6	4	25	22	15
13	SV Gloggnitz	13	3	5	5	14	21	14
14	Favoritner AC	13	4	1	8	9	18	13
15	SV Horn	13	3	2	8	17	21	11
16	SV Wienerberg	13	0	1	12	7	47	1

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Leobendorf	SV Donau
SV Wienerberg	3-0 W	8-1 W
SR Fach-Donaufeld	3-0 W	0-1 L
USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	1-2 L	2-2 D
SC Wiener Viktoria	0-1 L	0-0 D
Wiener Sportclub	2-1 W	2-3 L
Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	2-1 W	2-2 D
Favoritner AC	0-3 L	4-0 W
Oberwart	0-1 L	2-0 W
FCM Traiskirchen	4-5 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 5 L	3 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: SV Donau (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Leobendorf

LLLWWLLWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
17/10	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	3-0	9	3	W
11/10	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	3-0	4	3	W
04/10	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-2	8	3	L
26/09	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	9	5	L
18/09	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	2-1	5	4	W
12/09	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	2-1	8	9	W
04/09	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-3	6	4	L
29/08	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
21/08	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-3	4-5	1	10	L

SV Donau

DDWWDLDDLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	4-1	8-1	6	6	W
17/10	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	2	7	L
10/10	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-2	12	5	D
03/10	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	6	1	D
26/09	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	2-3	6	4	L
18/09	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	2-2	4	10	D
11/09	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	4-0	2	2	W
04/09	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	2-0	3	6	W
28/08	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-1	6	8	D
21/08	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-1	5	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Leobendorf vs SV Donau?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SV Leobendorf win (49%). Probabilities: SV Leobendorf 49%, draw 24%, SV Donau 27%.

How many goals are expected in SV Leobendorf vs SV Donau?

The model expects 2.93 goals (SV Leobendorf 1.71 · SV Donau 1.22), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Leobendorf vs SV Donau?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.