Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 31/10, 15:00

Prediction: SR Fach-Donaufeld vs Parndorf

Team pages: SR Fach-Donaufeld · Parndorf

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.83Total

SR Fach-Donaufeld1.51

Parndorf1.32

1X2

42% 25% 34%

SR Fach-Donaufeld Draw Parndorf

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

SR Fach-Donaufeld 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLDLDWWLWL

Parndorf 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLWLLWLDLW

Head-to-head

SR Fach-Donaufeld 1–4 Parndorf (5 last)

SR Fach-Donaufeld1-4Parndorf
Parndorf2-1SR Fach-Donaufeld
Parndorf4-2SR Fach-Donaufeld
SR Fach-Donaufeld1-5Parndorf
Parndorf0-1SR Fach-Donaufeld

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SR Fach-Donaufeld 1482 · Parndorf 1500

	SR Fach-Donaufeld	Draw	Parndorf
Our model	40%	27%	32%
Market	43%	23%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 2.83 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Parndorf: 4-0-1.
High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SR Fach-Donaufeld	Parndorf
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.2	1.3 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.2 / 6.3	2.7 / 6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	3.5 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

12.10

X4.00

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
01:14 +7’	2.10	4.00	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SR Fach-Donaufeld 1–0–4 Parndorf

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SR Fach-Donaufeld	1-4 HT 0-2	Parndorf
24/10/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Parndorf	2-1 HT 2-1	SR Fach-Donaufeld
06/07/24 Europe Friendlies	Parndorf	4-2 HT 2-2	SR Fach-Donaufeld
19/04/15 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SR Fach-Donaufeld	1-5 HT 0-2	Parndorf
19/09/14 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Parndorf	0-1 HT 0-1	SR Fach-Donaufeld

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	13	9	1	3	33	12	28
2	Wiener Sportclub	13	8	2	3	31	15	26
3	Oberwart	13	8	2	3	26	15	26
4	FCM Traiskirchen	13	7	3	3	28	23	24
5	Kremser SC	13	7	2	4	24	19	23
6	SC Wiener Viktoria	13	6	2	5	16	13	20
7	SR Fach-Donaufeld	13	6	2	5	17	17	20
8	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	13	5	4	4	20	26	19
9	Parndorf	13	5	3	5	21	16	18
10	SV Leobendorf	13	5	3	5	18	16	18
11	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	13	5	1	7	14	19	16
12	SV Donau	13	3	6	4	25	22	15
13	SV Gloggnitz	13	3	5	5	14	21	14
14	Favoritner AC	13	4	1	8	9	18	13
15	SV Horn	13	3	2	8	17	21	11
16	SV Wienerberg	13	0	1	12	7	47	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SR Fach-Donaufeld	Parndorf
SV Gloggnitz	4-0 W	2-0 W
USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	2-2 D	5-0 W
SC Wiener Viktoria	0-1 L	0-1 L
Wiener Sportclub	0-0 D	1-1 D
Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	0-2 L	0-1 L
Favoritner AC	1-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Parndorf (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SR Fach-Donaufeld

WLDLDWWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-3	3-4	2	6	L
17/10	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	15	7	W
11/10	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	0-3	3	3	L
03/10	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-0	7	6	W
26/09	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-0	4-0	6	0	W
20/09	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-1	2-2	5	3	D
12/09	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-1	10	5	L
04/09	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
29/08	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-2	2	2	L
21/08	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	5	4	W

Parndorf

WLWLLWLDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	5-0	9	2	W
17/10	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
09/10	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-1	1	5	D
03/10	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	8	5	L
25/09	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	8	1	W
18/09	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-3	11	4	L
11/09	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-3	1-3	7	6	L
01/09	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
28/08	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-2	1-4	4	2	L
22/08	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	2-0	2	4	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SR Fach-Donaufeld vs Parndorf?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SR Fach-Donaufeld win (42%). Probabilities: SR Fach-Donaufeld 42%, draw 25%, Parndorf 34%.

How many goals are expected in SR Fach-Donaufeld vs Parndorf?

The model expects 2.83 goals (SR Fach-Donaufeld 1.51 · Parndorf 1.32), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in SR Fach-Donaufeld vs Parndorf?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.