Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 31/10, 14:00

Prediction: USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth vs FC Marchfeld Donauauen

Team pages: USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth · FC Marchfeld Donauauen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.3Total

USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth1.35

FC Marchfeld Donauauen1.95

1X2

26% 23% 51%

USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Draw FC Marchfeld Donauauen

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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FC Marchfeld Donauauen 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth 0–1–1 FC Marchfeld Donauauen (2 last)

FC Marchfeld Donauauen2-2USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth
USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth1-2FC Marchfeld Donauauen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth 1477 · FC Marchfeld Donauauen 1562

	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	Draw	FC Marchfeld Donauauen
Our model	25%	24%	51%
Market	27%	22%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Marchfeld Donauauen (rating 1477 vs 1562).
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	FC Marchfeld Donauauen
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 2.2	2.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1	0.9 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.1 / 3.7	2.6 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.1 / 0.2	4.1 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.40

X4.20

21.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.80

2 (-0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 32.00

Under 31.80

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.5

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 02:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.88 → 3.40▲	Bet365 3.40
X	4.00 → 4.20▲	Bet365 4.20
2	1.95 → 1.75▼	Bet365 1.75

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 10.4%

Time*	1	X	2
00:47 +31’	2.88	4.00	1.95
01:56 +17’	3.40▲	4.20▲	1.75▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth 0–1–1 FC Marchfeld Donauauen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/05/23 Austria Regionalliga Ost	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	2-2 HT 1-1	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth
15/10/22 Austria Regionalliga Ost	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	1-2 HT 1-2	FC Marchfeld Donauauen

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	13	9	1	3	33	12	28
2	Wiener Sportclub	13	8	2	3	31	15	26
3	Oberwart	13	8	2	3	26	15	26
4	FCM Traiskirchen	13	7	3	3	28	23	24
5	Kremser SC	13	7	2	4	24	19	23
6	SC Wiener Viktoria	13	6	2	5	16	13	20
7	SR Fach-Donaufeld	13	6	2	5	17	17	20
8	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	13	5	4	4	20	26	19
9	Parndorf	13	5	3	5	21	16	18
10	SV Leobendorf	13	5	3	5	18	16	18
11	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	13	5	1	7	14	19	16
12	SV Donau	13	3	6	4	25	22	15
13	SV Gloggnitz	13	3	5	5	14	21	14
14	Favoritner AC	13	4	1	8	9	18	13
15	SV Horn	13	3	2	8	17	21	11
16	SV Wienerberg	13	0	1	12	7	47	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	FC Marchfeld Donauauen
Parndorf	0-5 L	4-1 W
Kremser SC	1-2 L	3-1 W
SV Gloggnitz	1-1 D	3-2 W
SC Wiener Viktoria	1-5 L	3-0 W
Wiener Sportclub	2-1 W	0-2 L
Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	0-2 L	4-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	5 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: FC Marchfeld Donauauen (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-5	4	2	L
16/10	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	1-2	4	8	L
10/10	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	2-2	4	5	D
04/10	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
26/09	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	3-1	5	1	W
20/09	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-2	2-2	3	3	D
12/09	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-1	5	7	D
05/09	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-5	3	3	L
28/08	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
22/08	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	0-2	2	7	L

FC Marchfeld Donauauen

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	3-0	5	7	W
16/10	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
09/10	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	4-0	2	4	W
02/10	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-1	7	3	D
25/09	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-1	5	6	L
18/09	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	3-1	–	–	W
11/09	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	3-1	5	3	W
04/09	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	3-2	7	3	W
28/08	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-1	4-1	4	2	W
21/08	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	3-1	4	8	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth vs FC Marchfeld Donauauen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Marchfeld Donauauen win (51%). Probabilities: USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth 26%, draw 23%, FC Marchfeld Donauauen 51%.

How many goals are expected in USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth vs FC Marchfeld Donauauen?

The model expects 3.3 goals (USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth 1.35 · FC Marchfeld Donauauen 1.95), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth vs FC Marchfeld Donauauen?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.