Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 31/10, 17:00

Prediction: SC Wiener Viktoria vs SV Horn

Team pages: SC Wiener Viktoria · SV Horn

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.85Total

SC Wiener Viktoria1.65

SV Horn1.2

1X2

48% 24% 28%

SC Wiener Viktoria Draw SV Horn

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

SC Wiener Viktoria 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

LDWWWWDLWL

SV Horn 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

DWLLWLLLLL

Head-to-head

SC Wiener Viktoria 1–3 SV Horn (4 last)

SC Wiener Viktoria3-1SV Horn
SV Horn1-0SC Wiener Viktoria
SC Wiener Viktoria1-2SV Horn
SV Horn5-3SC Wiener Viktoria

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SC Wiener Viktoria 1530 · SV Horn 1432

	SC Wiener Viktoria	Draw	SV Horn
Our model	47%	27%	27%
Market	49%	22%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.85 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours SC Wiener Viktoria (rating 1530 vs 1432).
H2H favours SV Horn: 3-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SC Wiener Viktoria	SV Horn
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 0.9	1.3 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	0.4 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.4	1.6 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0	4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.83

X4.00

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:28

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Pinn 1.90
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.24 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.8% Pinnacle margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
01:20 +8’	1.83	4.00	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
05:32 +51’	2.17	3.42	2.74
08:27 +3’	1.90▼	3.52▲	3.24▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SC Wiener Viktoria 1–0–3 SV Horn

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SC Wiener Viktoria	3-1 HT 3-1	SV Horn
17/10/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	SV Horn	1-0 HT 1-0	SC Wiener Viktoria
20/01/24 Europe Friendlies	SC Wiener Viktoria	1-2 HT 1-0	SV Horn
08/02/22 Europe Friendlies	SV Horn	5-3 HT 2-2	SC Wiener Viktoria

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	13	9	1	3	33	12	28
2	Wiener Sportclub	14	8	3	3	33	17	27
3	Oberwart	13	8	2	3	26	15	26
4	FCM Traiskirchen	14	7	4	3	30	25	25
5	Kremser SC	13	7	2	4	24	19	23
6	SC Wiener Viktoria	13	6	2	5	16	13	20
7	SR Fach-Donaufeld	13	6	2	5	17	17	20
8	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	13	5	4	4	20	26	19
9	Parndorf	13	5	3	5	21	16	18
10	SV Leobendorf	13	5	3	5	18	16	18
11	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	13	5	1	7	14	19	16
12	SV Donau	13	3	6	4	25	22	15
13	SV Gloggnitz	13	3	5	5	14	21	14
14	Favoritner AC	13	4	1	8	9	18	13
15	SV Horn	13	3	2	8	17	21	11
16	SV Wienerberg	13	0	1	12	7	47	1

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SC Wiener Viktoria	SV Horn
FC Marchfeld Donauauen	0-3 L	1-3 L
Parndorf	1-0 W	0-1 L
Kremser SC	0-1 L	1-0 W
SV Donau	0-0 D	1-1 D
SV Gloggnitz	1-1 D	3-1 W
Wiener Sportclub	0-3 L	3-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: SV Horn (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SC Wiener Viktoria

LDWWWWDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-3	1	7	L
17/10	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	3	6	W
09/10	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	5	7	L
03/10	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	11	1	D
26/09	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	0	5	W
19/09	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	3-0	10	1	W
12/09	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-0	1	5	W
05/09	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	5-1	8	3	W
29/08	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
21/08	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-3	0-3	1	3	L

SV Horn

DWLLWLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	3-4	5	3	L
16/10	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
10/10	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
02/10	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-3	2	2	L
25/09	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	3-4	7	4	L
19/09	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	3-1	–	–	W
11/09	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	1-3	3	3	L
01/09	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
28/08	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	2	7	W
21/08	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-1	2	8	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SC Wiener Viktoria vs SV Horn?

According to our model, the most likely result is a SC Wiener Viktoria win (48%). Probabilities: SC Wiener Viktoria 48%, draw 24%, SV Horn 28%.

How many goals are expected in SC Wiener Viktoria vs SV Horn?

The model expects 2.85 goals (SC Wiener Viktoria 1.65 · SV Horn 1.2), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in SC Wiener Viktoria vs SV Horn?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.