Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 31/10, 15:00

Prediction: SV Wienerberg vs Kremser SC

Team pages: SV Wienerberg · Kremser SC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.16Total

SV Wienerberg1.08

Kremser SC3.08

1X2

8% 13% 79%

SV Wienerberg Draw Kremser SC

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-3 8%

Recent form · 10 last

SV Wienerberg 0-1-9 (W-D-L)

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Kremser SC 7-0-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

SV Wienerberg 0–1 Kremser SC (1 last)

Kremser SC6-1SV Wienerberg

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · SV Wienerberg 1376 · Kremser SC 1556

	SV Wienerberg	Draw	Kremser SC
Our model	9%	14%	76%
Market	7%	11%	82%

Estimated total (ours) 4.16 goals · Bet365 line 4.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kremser SC (rating 1376 vs 1556).
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	SV Wienerberg	Kremser SC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.4 / 3.5	2.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 1.7	1.6 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/20/80%	70/0/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.2 / 3.5	2.5 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.1	6.1 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

113.00

X8.00

21.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+2.5)1.90

2 (-2.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 4.251.90

Under 4.251.90

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	13.00 → 13.00	Bet365 13.00
X	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
2	1.10 → 1.10	Bet365 1.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
00:09 +6’	13.00	8.00	1.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · SV Wienerberg 0–0–1 Kremser SC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/08/21 Europe Friendlies	Kremser SC	6-1 HT 5-1	SV Wienerberg

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	13	9	1	3	33	12	28
2	Wiener Sportclub	13	8	2	3	31	15	26
3	Oberwart	13	8	2	3	26	15	26
4	FCM Traiskirchen	13	7	3	3	28	23	24
5	Kremser SC	13	7	2	4	24	19	23
6	SC Wiener Viktoria	13	6	2	5	16	13	20
7	SR Fach-Donaufeld	13	6	2	5	17	17	20
8	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	13	5	4	4	20	26	19
9	Parndorf	13	5	3	5	21	16	18
10	SV Leobendorf	13	5	3	5	18	16	18
11	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	13	5	1	7	14	19	16
12	SV Donau	13	3	6	4	25	22	15
13	SV Gloggnitz	13	3	5	5	14	21	14
14	Favoritner AC	13	4	1	8	9	18	13
15	SV Horn	13	3	2	8	17	21	11
16	SV Wienerberg	13	0	1	12	7	47	1

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	SV Wienerberg	Kremser SC
SR Fach-Donaufeld	0-2 L	4-3 W
USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	1-3 L	2-1 W
SC Wiener Viktoria	0-3 L	1-0 W
Wiener Sportclub	0-6 L	4-3 W
Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	0-3 L	3-0 W
Favoritner AC	0-2 L	3-0 W
Oberwart	2-5 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 7 L	7 W 0 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Kremser SC (7 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

SV Wienerberg

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-4	1-8	7	6	L
17/10	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	0-3	8	3	L
10/10	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	3	0	D
03/10	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-2	5	6	L
26/09	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	1-3	5	1	L
19/09	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	0-3	2	1	L
12/09	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	0-6	1	3	L
04/09	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	0-3	1	1	L
29/08	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	0-2	2	2	L
21/08	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-2	2-5	1	4	L

Kremser SC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-2	4-3	8	6	W
16/10	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	2-1	5	8	W
09/10	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	8	7	W
02/10	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-2	4-3	2	6	W
25/09	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020 Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-0	3-0	2	5	W
22/09	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-2	6	8	L
18/09	Favoritner AC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	3-0	1	5	W
11/09	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-0	3-1	6	5	W
28/08	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
21/08	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-3	0	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in SV Wienerberg vs Kremser SC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Kremser SC win (79%). Probabilities: SV Wienerberg 8%, draw 13%, Kremser SC 79%.

How many goals are expected in SV Wienerberg vs Kremser SC?

The model expects 4.16 goals (SV Wienerberg 1.08 · Kremser SC 3.08), with a 52% chance of under 4.25 goals.

Will both teams score in SV Wienerberg vs Kremser SC?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-3.