Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 28/08, 19:00

Prediction: Parndorf vs FC Marchfeld Donauauen

Team pages: Parndorf · FC Marchfeld Donauauen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.47Total

Parndorf1.83

FC Marchfeld Donauauen1.63

1X2

42% 23% 34%

Parndorf Draw FC Marchfeld Donauauen

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Parndorf 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DLWWWWDWDW

FC Marchfeld Donauauen 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Parndorf 2–2–0 FC Marchfeld Donauauen (4 last)

Parndorf2-1FC Marchfeld Donauauen
FC Marchfeld Donauauen1-2Parndorf
Parndorf1-1FC Marchfeld Donauauen
FC Marchfeld Donauauen2-2Parndorf

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Parndorf 1611 · FC Marchfeld Donauauen 1539

	Parndorf	Draw	FC Marchfeld Donauauen
Our model	42%	24%	34%
Market	43%	23%	35%

Estimated total (ours) 3.47 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Parndorf (rating 1611 vs 1539).
H2H favours Parndorf: 2-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Parndorf	FC Marchfeld Donauauen
Goals for / against (FT)	2.8 / 1.1	2.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1.6 / 0.7	1.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/30/20%	50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 3.3	2.4 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0	4.2 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.10

X4.00

22.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
17:09 +11’	2.10	4.00	2.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Parndorf 2–2–0 FC Marchfeld Donauauen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
29/05/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Parndorf	2-1 HT 1-1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen
14/11/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	1-2 HT 1-2	Parndorf
31/05/19 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Parndorf	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Marchfeld Donauauen
03/11/18 Austria Regionalliga Ost	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	2-2 HT 1-0	Parndorf

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Wiener Sportclub	4	4	0	0	10	1	12
2	Oberwart	4	3	0	1	12	6	9
3	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	4	3	0	1	12	3	9
4	SR Fach-Donaufeld	4	3	0	1	5	5	9
5	Parndorf	4	2	2	0	10	3	8
6	FCM Traiskirchen	4	2	1	1	12	11	7
7	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	4	2	1	1	6	6	7
8	SV Gloggnitz	4	2	0	2	6	7	6
9	SV Horn	4	1	2	1	5	3	5
10	SV Leobendorf	4	1	2	1	6	6	5
11	SC Wiener Viktoria	4	1	0	3	4	7	3
12	Favoritner AC	4	1	0	3	1	4	3
13	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	4	1	0	3	3	6	3
14	Kremser SC	4	0	2	2	4	8	2
15	SV Donau	4	0	2	2	4	12	2
16	SV Wienerberg	4	0	0	4	5	17	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Parndorf	FC Marchfeld Donauauen
Kremser SC	1-1 D	3-1 W
SV Donau	6-1 W	4-1 W
SV Leobendorf	1-1 D	0-1 L
SR Fach-Donaufeld	4-1 W	2-0 W
Wiener Sportclub	2-4 L	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Parndorf (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Parndorf

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	2-0	2	4	W
14/08	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-1	3	9	D
07/08	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-1	6-1	4	4	W
31/07	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-1	3	7	D
03/06	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-2	5-2	3	5	W
29/05	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	2-1	0	4	W
22/05	TWL Elektra Austria Regionalliga Ost	4-0	5-0	8	6	W
09/05	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	4-1	6	5	W
05/05	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-2	2-4	1	2	L
24/04	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-0	3	2	D

FC Marchfeld Donauauen

DLWWLWWLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/08	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	3-1	4	8	W
15/08	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-1	4-1	7	6	W
07/08	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
01/08	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	4-0	5-0	2	3	W
03/06	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
29/05	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-2	10	4	L
22/05	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	2-1	3	3	W
16/05	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	3-0	6	3	W
08/05	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-2	1-3	3	5	L
01/05	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	2-2	3	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Parndorf vs FC Marchfeld Donauauen?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Parndorf win (42%). Probabilities: Parndorf 42%, draw 23%, FC Marchfeld Donauauen 34%.

How many goals are expected in Parndorf vs FC Marchfeld Donauauen?

The model expects 3.47 goals (Parndorf 1.83 · FC Marchfeld Donauauen 1.63), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Parndorf vs FC Marchfeld Donauauen?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.