Football · Austria Regionalliga Ost · 11/09, 19:30

Prediction: Kremser SC vs Oberwart

Team pages: Kremser SC · Oberwart

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.6Total

Kremser SC1.7

Oberwart1.9

1X2

34% 23% 43%

Kremser SC Draw Oberwart

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Kremser SC 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Oberwart 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Kremser SC 1–3–2 Oberwart (6 last)

Oberwart5-2Kremser SC
Kremser SC1-1Oberwart
Oberwart1-1Kremser SC
Kremser SC1-1Oberwart
Kremser SC1-3Oberwart
Oberwart1-2Kremser SC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kremser SC 1417 · Oberwart 1561

	Kremser SC	Draw	Oberwart
Our model	34%	24%	42%
Market	35%	23%	43%

Estimated total (ours) 3.6 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oberwart (rating 1417 vs 1561).
H2H favours Oberwart: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kremser SC	Oberwart
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 2	2.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.9	1.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/10/50%	70/20/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 3.8	2.7 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0.4	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.60

X4.00

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.7 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:17

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.60 → 2.60	Bet365 2.60
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
00:16 +1’	2.60	4.00	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Kremser SC 1–3–2 Oberwart

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/06/26 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Oberwart	5-2 HT 3-1	Kremser SC
21/11/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Kremser SC	1-1 HT 1-1	Oberwart
04/04/25 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Oberwart	1-1 HT 0-0	Kremser SC
06/09/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Kremser SC	1-1 HT 1-1	Oberwart
29/03/24 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Kremser SC	1-3 HT 0-1	Oberwart
01/09/23 Austria Regionalliga Ost	Oberwart	1-2 HT 1-0	Kremser SC

Standings · Austria Regionalliga Ost

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	FC Marchfeld Donauauen	6	5	0	1	19	6	15
2	Wiener Sportclub	6	4	1	1	11	3	13
3	Oberwart	6	4	0	2	13	8	12
4	Parndorf	6	3	2	1	12	7	11
5	SR Fach-Donaufeld	6	3	1	2	5	7	10
6	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth	6	3	1	2	9	12	10
7	Mattersburger Sportverein 2020	6	3	0	3	8	6	9
8	Favoritner AC	6	3	0	3	6	4	9
9	SV Horn	6	2	2	2	6	4	8
10	FCM Traiskirchen	5	2	2	1	13	12	8
11	SV Gloggnitz	6	2	1	3	9	11	7
12	SC Wiener Viktoria	6	2	1	3	10	9	7
13	SV Donau	6	1	3	2	7	13	6
14	SV Leobendorf	6	1	2	3	6	10	5
15	Kremser SC	5	0	2	3	4	9	2
16	SV Wienerberg	6	0	0	6	5	22	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kremser SC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/08	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-1	4	7	L
21/08	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-3	0	8	L
14/08	Parndorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-1	3	9	D
07/08	SV Gloggnitz Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-3	–	–	L
31/07	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	1-1	5	5	D
05/06	Oberwart Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-3	2-5	2	2	L
29/05	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	5-1	7	7	W
22/05	FC Marchfeld Donauauen Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	1-2	1	3	L
15/05	TWL Elektra Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-1	5-1	5	1	W
09/05	SV Horn Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	0-2	7	8	L

Oberwart

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/09	SV Donau Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-0	0-2	3	6	L
29/08	SV Leobendorf Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-0	9	6	W
21/08	SV Wienerberg Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-1	5-2	4	4	W
14/08	SR Fach-Donaufeld Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-1	4-1	3	4	W
07/08	USV Scheiblingkirchen-Warth Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	1-2	12	5	L
01/08	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	1-0	2-1	11	6	W
05/06	Kremser SC Austria Regionalliga Ost	3-1	5-2	7	2	W
30/05	SC Wiener Viktoria Austria Regionalliga Ost	0-1	2-2	2	4	D
22/05	FCM Traiskirchen Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	3-0	0	4	W
15/05	Wiener Sportclub Austria Regionalliga Ost	2-0	2-0	2	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kremser SC vs Oberwart?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Oberwart win (43%). Probabilities: Kremser SC 34%, draw 23%, Oberwart 43%.

How many goals are expected in Kremser SC vs Oberwart?

The model expects 3.6 goals (Kremser SC 1.7 · Oberwart 1.9), with a 56% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Kremser SC vs Oberwart?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.